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Author Topic:   Mystery missile launch off California coast
hlbjr
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posted 11-09-2010 12:34 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for hlbjr   Click Here to Email hlbjr     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Interesting footage of a decent sized solid motor missile fired off the coast of California Monday night and heading out to sea.

No one seems to know whose missile it is and the Pentagon so far is claiming it's not theirs.

cspg
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From: Geneva, Switzerland
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posted 11-09-2010 02:55 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for cspg   Click Here to Email cspg     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by hlbjr:
No one seems to know whose missile it is and the Pentagon so far is claiming it's not theirs.
This is a funny statement! I guess the Pentagon PAO (if there's such thing) must be laughing too.

If not, well, that would be a bit scary...

Robert Pearlman
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posted 11-09-2010 03:23 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
It wasn't a missile, but rather a jet contrail viewed from an odd angle.
What appeared to be a rocket blasting into the skies off the southern California coast on Monday was probably just an approaching plane, a Harvard astronomer who tracks space launches says...

So what was it? Jonathan McDowell, an astronomer who tracks space launches at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics in Cambridge, Massachusetts, says it was probably an optical illusion caused by a plane.

"If it's coming over the horizon, straight at you, then it rises quickly above the horizon," he told New Scientist. "You can't tell because it's so far away that it's getting closer to you – you'd think it was just going vertically up," he says.

Greggy_D
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posted 11-09-2010 05:12 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Greggy_D   Click Here to Email Greggy_D     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
No way. That looked nothing like a jet contrail. That bright light is a solid fuel motor.

GoesTo11
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posted 11-09-2010 05:42 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for GoesTo11   Click Here to Email GoesTo11     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
The buzz on the Interwebz is that it was a US Navy SLBM test launch. Supposedly the Navy issued a sea & air warning for the area, but otherwise said nothing specific, for what it's worth.

Rob Joyner
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posted 11-09-2010 08:05 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Rob Joyner   Click Here to Email Rob Joyner     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
This is very much how a shuttle launch looks when viewed from the causeway at KSC!

Robert Pearlman
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posted 11-09-2010 08:29 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by GoesTo11:
Supposedly the Navy issued a sea & air warning for the area
The warning in question was issued yesterday (Nov. 8) for a period extending from today at 20:00 through Wednesday at 01:00.

Robert Pearlman
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posted 11-09-2010 08:31 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by Greggy_D:
That looked nothing like a jet contrail.
Sure it did; see multiple past examples courtesy ContrailScience.com.
quote:
That bright light is a solid fuel motor.
Or sun glint off a fuselage...

Greggy_D
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posted 11-09-2010 09:11 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Greggy_D   Click Here to Email Greggy_D     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I'm not buying it. Contrails are thin and wispy. In the video, there is a lot of exhaust residue which usually means the motor fuel consists of lots of aluminized powder.

If it was a plane, then why hasn't it been announced officially instead of "we don't know"?

Robert Pearlman
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posted 11-09-2010 09:33 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by Greggy_D:
Contrails are thin and wispy.
Did you look at ContrailScience.com? There are photos there taken in Michigan and elsewhere that look exactly like what was seen by the helicopter crew in LA.
quote:
If it was a plane, then why hasn't it been announced officially instead of "we don't know"?
It's not the Department of Defense's job to track airline traffic. The Pentagon, Air Force, Navy and North American Aerospace Defense Command have all said more than "I don't know," they've said, "it wasn't ours." And NORAD has confirmed it was not a foreign launched missile.

SpaceAholic
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posted 11-09-2010 09:55 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for SpaceAholic   Click Here to Email SpaceAholic     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
It is NORAD's responsibility to maintain the national air COP (Common Operational Picture) which includes all commercial traffic within its Western Air Defense sector. If it is an aircraft (contrail) there would be correlation between the radar tracks and the event (in addition the aircraft would have been squawking IFF).

Byeman
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posted 11-09-2010 10:12 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Byeman   Click Here to Email Byeman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Here is the aircraft ground track.

Aztecdoug
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posted 11-09-2010 10:31 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Aztecdoug   Click Here to Email Aztecdoug     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I saw an interview with the photographer on the local stations website. He stated it was going westbound. Earlier today I heard him interviewed on a local radio station, this time he clearly stated based on the sun and shadows it was going eastbound.

In both interviews he said it appeared to be spiraling.

The spiraling description sort of reminded me of Mike Melvill flying SS1.

At least the unnamed pentagon spokesman didn't try and call it swamp gas.

Jay Chladek
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posted 11-09-2010 11:45 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Jay Chladek   Click Here to Email Jay Chladek     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I am pretty certain it is a contrail. With the sun being low in the sky and to the south of the jet, that can make it appear to glow and look like a rocket plume. The contrail itself doesn't look like a low altitude SRM plume (which is what an SLBM would be as its first stage is a solid motor). Instead it looks like some high altitude northerly wind is sheering the contrail into a wide freaky shape and the lighting angle is making it look more solid then it is.

I have seen contrails similar to that with my own eyes. Just last Saturday I saw something similar to that due east of Omaha. Indeed I wondered myself if it was some kind of "missile launch" when I first saw it, although the technical side of my brain dismissed it as nonsense as I don't recall hearing about any missile silos in Iowa. But as I continued to look, the jet at about 35,000 feet passed right overhead and the contrail itself got distorted like most every other contrail does.

It is kind of dumb that the news agencies latched on to calling it a "missile launch" that soon. Calling it an "alleged missile launch" makes more sense until you can get some concrete evidence.

spaced out
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posted 11-10-2010 01:12 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for spaced out   Click Here to Email spaced out     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
If you read the full page of info on ContrailScience.com it's very well explained.

If it was a missile launch it would have been visible for large distances in all directions and would have showed up on videos or photos from many different angles.

Since it was actually just an interesting optical effect that only looked dramatic from one angle only that camera crew picked up on it.

Rizz
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posted 11-10-2010 01:13 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Rizz     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
We saw not one, but two vertical 'contrails' off of the east coast of Maui, yesterday, and again today during the late morning hours.

One each morning, with no visible 'source'.

KSCartist
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posted 11-10-2010 07:19 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for KSCartist   Click Here to Email KSCartist     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Very curious indeed.

On Nov 2nd my wife was driving home from taking our grandson to the Zoo. It was late morning so low sun angles didn't come into play. She saw the same looking contrail in the East and was so surprised that she called me to ask if there was a launch. We've lived here for 19 years so we know a launch when we see it.

Knowing that nothing was scheduled, I called Robert who was at the KSC Press Site. I was thinking that maybe the Navy launched a Polaris-type missile from a submarine. Per Robert, no launch. So I thought nothing of it until the news reports of this mystery.

Greggy_D
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posted 11-10-2010 07:26 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Greggy_D   Click Here to Email Greggy_D     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
There is a second video out there from a second angle. I can't get to it from work right now though.

Robert Pearlman
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posted 11-10-2010 09:28 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Miles O'Brien on Twitter:
Before I left LA, I launched my latest model rocket. Did anyone see it?

spaced out
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posted 11-10-2010 09:45 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for spaced out   Click Here to Email spaced out     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Incidentally, if there really had been a missile/rocket launch leaving a vast vertical plume behind it wouldn't you expect it to have been seen by many of the pilots of the dozens of commercial and private planes in the sky at the time?

On the other hand, if it's a horizontal vapor trail as explained on that webpage there was basically nothing unusual to have been seen by anyone apart from the few people looking at it head-on.

JPSastro
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posted 11-10-2010 12:16 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for JPSastro   Click Here to Email JPSastro     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Bare with me on this... Here is the REAL TRUTH about this "missile launch/airliner" story. I am sorry, but there are some real, really "interesting' folks walking amongst us, this you have to watch to believe...

Yeah, this is for real, her YouTube channel is loaded with this nonsense...

Captain Apollo
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posted 11-10-2010 12:48 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Captain Apollo   Click Here to Email Captain Apollo     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
The cameraman has also said he saw the same thing last week (follow up interview). So what's more likely, two contrails mistaken or two secret rocket launches from the same place within a week?

It's a contrail.

Captain Apollo
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posted 11-10-2010 12:49 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Captain Apollo   Click Here to Email Captain Apollo     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Oh, and if it were a rocket launch that close, you'd surely have heard something?

Rizz
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posted 11-10-2010 01:13 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Rizz     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Our sightings turned out to be military fighters doing exercises, and having some fun. They were absolutely vertical however.

NAAmodel#240
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posted 11-12-2010 08:03 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for NAAmodel#240   Click Here to Email NAAmodel#240     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I watched a video clip on Fox News. It makes me believe that whatever it was certainly was not coming towards the viewer. Whatever was creating the contrail had at it's peak flames like you see from a military jet afterburner or a rocket engine.

Aztecdoug
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posted 11-12-2010 12:20 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Aztecdoug   Click Here to Email Aztecdoug     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
A news helicopter used by the same channel which filmed the event earlier this week was forced to make an emergency landing this morning because of engine failure.

It is not clear if it is the same helicopter or crew that filmed the event but is the same channel.

The tail rotor and boom assembly were separated from the body of the helicopter, but it was unclear if it happened in the air or upon impact.

Is this a coincidence or part of a bigger conspiracy?

This story will just keep on giving us some fun for a little while I guess!

Robert Pearlman
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posted 11-12-2010 12:35 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Time to Think: It was US Airways flight 808
As I was researching tonight (24 hours later), I realized that today's AWE808 current position (at around 4:50pm) was almost the same as it was the day of the incident. I quickly pulled up a Newport Beach webcam and found that (apparently) AWE808 was making an identical contrail, 24 hours later!

Rizz
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posted 11-12-2010 01:09 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Rizz     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
This link (Notice to Mariners) details current naval activity in the Pacific, Hawai'i and California. Pg 55.

Not saying, or assuming anything, just more info.

JPSastro
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posted 11-12-2010 02:39 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for JPSastro   Click Here to Email JPSastro     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I am still tossed on the idea of the woman who says it was an ICBM shot down by the Pledians (see my previous posting above). But, the BEST spin on this story was via The Daily Show... it nails it... Enjoy.

Robert Pearlman
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posted 11-12-2010 02:56 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
With absolutely no disrespect intended toward any reader or member here, if you ever wondered how there were people who believe we never went to the moon, you only need to look so far as those still doubting that this "mystery missile" was a contrail.

The only "evidence" for this having been a missile is what the imagery is being misinterpreted to show, much like the moon hoaxers who claim that perpendicular shadows and waving flags are proof the landings were staged.

The situation is the same in both cases: supposition based on a misunderstanding of the physics involved and a tendency to distrust the government, regardless if it is the Pentagon or NASA.

AGF767
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posted 11-12-2010 03:55 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for AGF767   Click Here to Email AGF767     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I have been trying to explain this "missile" garbage on other blogs without much success. The hoaxers live for this stuff. Chemtrails! Gov't coverup! Foreign missile!

Nonsense. I have been flying for 33 years and am currently a captain on the B-767. The aircraft is flying towards the camera at sunset. Behind it still illuminated by the sun is the far away part of the contrail spread out. The aircraft is flying east into darkness so the near part of the contrail is dark. The sun glints off of the fuselage and the hoaxers see the rockets red glare.

Think in 3D and see this in perspective from the ground looking up as the aircraft moves toward the camera and it is plainly a commercial airliner. On the long video you can even see just before the film stops small flashes of red and green - just the exact color of the red and green position lights.

Why does the film suddenly stop and not follow the so called missile to orbit or impact? Probably because the guy filming what he thought initially looked like an unusual event realized as the aircraft flew closer overhead that he was filming just that - a regular old jet not worthy of continuing to film.

I've seen this hundreds of times over the years at altitude. A beautiful optical illusion that by definition fools the eye into seeing something that is not really at first glance what it might appear to be. In fact I never thought it was anything other than an airliner (AW flight Honolulu to Phoenix) and wondered how anyone sees a "missile" from a plain old everday contrail.

But the hoaxers will not be denied. The same government that "faked" the moon landings seems to have accidently launched a "missile" the other day.

Sorry, hoaxers. The moon landings were real and the only thing sinister going on in the video probably is the FAs serving the cockpit crew another lousy crew meal.

KSCartist
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posted 11-12-2010 03:55 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for KSCartist   Click Here to Email KSCartist     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I'm convinced that what my wife saw was an airplane and that this event on the west coast was an airplane.

It just goes to show that even us veteran launch watchers can be mistaken.

JPSastro
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posted 11-12-2010 09:08 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for JPSastro   Click Here to Email JPSastro     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I just completed a six day job assignment here that had some students from the local university as observers. What I heard from them absolutely amazed me.

The general opinion of a solid 85% of these leaders of tomorrow blew me away... Moon landings a government snow job to make the USA look better than USSR, never really happened, Apollo 13 is what blew it open as it showed that landing were way to difficult and they were caught! True with... Pearl Harbor and 9/11, a government smoke screen to get us into a war, government was totally aware of both in advance, different times same end result... stock market, etc.

I am telling you these were just some of the issues these young people do not believe were truthfully possible with out government's knowledge, involvement and conspiracy. This scared me and I was at a loss to debate with them as they were so adamant in defending there beliefs... this wasn't a joke.

To hear their points of view and there sincerity to the distrust of the government and the media, well, I was just confounded. I sat and listened to how intense there views were. I just had to walk away. And I asked their opinions on this!

Here in Tucson on the cable local access channel I have watched programs claiming that Davis Monthan AFB has a 12 story underground structure that services, 1- UFO's and 2- a Russian Air Force operations and 3- the good old UN black ops. (And I have heard this from a number of locals, too!) Oh, according to some, Tucson is a hotbed of strange happens in the night sky. Local news had some young lady on who monitors all the local public access surveillance cameras and she showed all her UFO videos on the news.

Long story short... there always will be, even educated people who will believe exactly what they want to believe. As I posted (as a joke) Collen Thomas and the Pleadians, missile launches verses contrails, moon landing etc, etc. As I saw firsthand even the young learners have some very strange and strong beliefs. All I can say is, wow!

Fezman92
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posted 11-12-2010 10:45 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Fezman92   Click Here to Email Fezman92     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I'm not one of those young people, just to give you some hope. I have always been more educated then most of my peers and I can make rational decisions. Humanity isn't as screwed up as it appears to be. Not yet. It will be though. Yea I'm 18 and have been this cynical for many years.

ejectr
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posted 11-13-2010 07:59 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for ejectr   Click Here to Email ejectr     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
As far as young people's opinions are concerned... when I was in high school in '63 -'67, we had our own way of thinking, doing and dressing. I had a history teacher that was very cool and my basketball coach as well. He used to smile at our opinions, hair styles and attire and just say..." when it comes time for the job interview, the hair will get cut and there will be cuffs on the pants".

They're dreamers...

MCroft04
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posted 11-13-2010 08:33 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for MCroft04   Click Here to Email MCroft04     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I'm old enough to have seen Alan Shepard become the first American in space, but I have absolute confidence in our younger generation. Tad Nelson asked Dave Scott at the Nov ASF show what he thought about the younger pilots, and Dave said they were unbelievably sharp, more so than he ever was. He was very impressed with their abilities. I experienced the same feeling with the youngsters that we hired over the past 10 years. That's why I am enjoying myself so much, because I know you folks have my back.

albatron
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posted 11-14-2010 03:57 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for albatron   Click Here to Email albatron     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by Robert Pearlman:
Miles O'Brien on Twitter
Not trying to re-stir the pot, but maybe Miles should speak with his newsroom.

Robert Pearlman
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posted 11-14-2010 04:07 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Two points:
  1. iReport is a user-generated section of CNN.com. The stories in that section are not edited, fact-checked or screened before they are posted.

    If someone wanted, they could post a story to iReport claiming the "mystery missile" seen launching from Los Angeles was in fact Iron Man.

  2. Miles left CNN in 2008. He is now the science correspondent for PBS Newshour.

Jay Chladek
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posted 11-14-2010 04:16 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Jay Chladek   Click Here to Email Jay Chladek     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Miles hasn't worked for CNN in years. If anything, if he was still working for CNN, then I doubt they would latch onto a story like this as the quality of CNN's science department isn't what it once was.

albatron
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posted 11-15-2010 06:17 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for albatron   Click Here to Email albatron     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I was being tongue in cheek about the newsroom aspect of course.

Yes it is reader generated, under the CNN banner let's not forget.

I'm not saying it is a Chinese missile, but I am having a hard time blowing it off as a contrail as well.

I subscribe to more than a few Homeland Security groups (it is my background), and am not at liberty to discuss some specifics, but let's just say we shouldn't be too quick to blow iCNN off.

No Administration would admit to this happening, nor would they admit to one of ours in a secret (newly developed) program.


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