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  NASA's 'Evolvable Mars campaign' may incl. moon

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Author Topic:   NASA's 'Evolvable Mars campaign' may incl. moon
Robert Pearlman
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From: Houston, TX
Registered: Nov 1999

posted 04-04-2015 11:50 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Senior NASA engineers have quietly begun reconsidering using the moon as a staging point for an eventual mission to Mars, the Houston Chronicle reports.
"If propellant was available from the moon, this could dramatically lower the mass needed from the Earth for a NASA Mars mission," Gerstenmaier said.

NASA officials have begun talking about an "Evolvable Mars Campaign," which recognizes the technical and financial challenges of reaching Mars, and the likelihood that the United States would not support an all-out, Apollo-like plan.

...with this "evolvable" campaign, which should be publicly released later this year, NASA is moving away from a flags-and-footprints approach used during the Apollo era to a more step-by-step, sustainable path. NASA is considering how to launch assets into space that could be built upon by subsequent missions, and ways of using resources in space that would reduce the burden of launching them from Earth.

SpaceAholic
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From: Sierra Vista, Arizona
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posted 04-04-2015 02:36 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for SpaceAholic   Click Here to Email SpaceAholic     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Constellation Program essentially captured the essence of what is described above (until it was canceled).

Robert Pearlman
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posted 04-04-2015 02:56 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
It may be a bit early to draw comparisons before knowing more about the scope of the lunar activities now being discussed.

Constellation proposed building a base for a long-term stay on the moon with no defined activities on the surface and no specific plan for how such a base would lead to Mars.

Based on the little I've heard of the current talks, it may not be necessary or desired to establish a base on the moon. Rather, if the focus is still Mars, then it may make more sense to establish an outpost at L2 and fly (crewed or robotic) sortie missions to the lunar surface as needed for in situ resource utilization.

Even that is notional though, as the funding doesn't exist for even continuing to operate Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter beyond this year. So for now, the moon is simply a maybe.

Blackarrow
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posted 04-05-2015 01:21 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Blackarrow     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
But it's a crack in the granite monolith that was the opposition to any NASA return to the Moon. This is interesting.

Robert Pearlman
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posted 04-06-2015 09:23 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
NASA officials are disputing the Houston Chronicle's story that NASA is "quietly" reassessing the need for missions to the lunar surface before traveling to Mars, SpacePolicyOnline reports.
NASA spokeswoman Stephanie Schierholz told SpacePolicyOnline.com via email that Gerstenmaier was only responding to a question from Berger about the possibility of using lunar resources for Mars missions. "The Evolvable Mars Campaign, which envisions using the lunar vicinity to support a human mission to the Red Planet, is in line with and designed to advance the president's ambitious space exploration plan. We're making great progress on this journey to Mars. A key element of our plan to get to the Red Planet is employing a stepping stone approach, including living, working and learning in cis-lunar space."

Cis-lunar is the area between the Earth and the Moon or in lunar orbit.

...David Weaver, NASA Associate Administrator for the Office of Communications, and Berger engaged in a Twitter exchange about the article as well. Weaver said there was "nothing new" about NASA's plan to use the Moon, but it involves operations in cis-lunar space, not on the surface. Berger replied "Respectfully disagree; ISRU idea is new and would require a substantial investment of time and money at the Moon."

SpaceAholic
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posted 04-06-2015 04:58 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for SpaceAholic   Click Here to Email SpaceAholic     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
ISRU meet Tethers Unlmited SpiderFab:
A company called Tethers Unlimited is developing an in-space manufacturing system called "SpiderFab," which would use arachnidlike robots to put together large objects in orbit or beyond.

SpiderFab could help build big radio antennas, spacecraft booms and solar arrays in the next decade or so, said Rob Hoyt, CEO and chief scientist of Tethers Unlimited. But he has an even grander vision for the technology (and associated projects the company is working on) over the long haul.

"Our really long-term objective for all of this work is to eventually enable the use of in-situ resources to construct the infrastructure in space needed to support humanity's expansion throughout the solar system," Hoyt said March 4 during a presentation with NASA's Future In-Space Operations (FISO) working group.

328KF
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posted 04-07-2015 08:01 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for 328KF   Click Here to Email 328KF     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Here is some more commentary from the Houston Chronicle on why NASA is reluctant to acknowledge this "new" direction publicly.

I think the people making these assessments are right on target. It's just ashamed that we've wasted years of resources in money and time pursuing a political punt. Unfortunately, we will continue to do so for another couple of years.

Robert Pearlman
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posted 04-07-2015 09:27 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
If this has been a political punt, and I am not so sure it has been, then those who objected to it each step of the way share at least as much of the blame.

I don't know what you expect to happen in the next couple of years, but let me quote Walt Cunningham from his recent congressional testimony:

Unless the country, which really is Congress here, decides to put more money in it, this is just talk that we're going through here. The budget has got to go up for NASA.
I'm sorry but I just don't see any new administration, Republican or Democrat, succeeding in convincing Congress to significantly raise NASA's budget.

I would love to be wrong on that point, but assuming for the moment that I am not, then we can either waste even more time planning and re-planning for programs that are not affordable or we can push ahead and actually do something that is.

Robert Pearlman
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From: Houston, TX
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posted 04-08-2015 02:43 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Today's NASA Advisory Committee Meeting included a briefing about the Evolvable Mars Campaign, including the following summary chart (via Twitter):
Evolvable Mars Campaign (EMC)

EMC Goal: Define a pioneering strategy and operational capabilities that can extend and sustain human presence in the solar system including a human journey to explore the Mars system starting in the mid-2030s.

Identify a plan that:

  • Expands human presence into the solar system to advance exploration, science, innovation, benefits to humanity and international collaboration

  • Provides different future scenario options for a range of capability needs to be used as guidelines for near term activities and investments
    • In accordance with key strategic principles
    • Takes advantage of capability advancements
    • Leverages new scientific findings
    • Flexible to policy changes

  • Identifies linkages to and leverages current investments in ISS, SLS, Orion, ARM, EAM, technology development investments, science activities

  • Emphasizes prepositioning and reuse/repurposing of systems when it makes sense
    • Use location(s) in cis-lunar space for aggregation and refurbishment of systems

Robert Pearlman
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From: Houston, TX
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posted 04-08-2015 02:49 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
As part of today's meeting (see above), Bill Gerstenmaier said:
I don't think we need to go to the surface of the Moon if long-term goal is Mars.
Jason Crusan, NASA's director of advanced exploration systems, added:
No emphasis in our plans for humans landing on the Moon, but looking at ISRU uses of lunar resources.

328KF
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posted 04-08-2015 06:03 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for 328KF   Click Here to Email 328KF     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Interesting that Gerstanmaier makes the above comment in front of the committee today, but was quoted by the Houston Chronicle as saying:
We have seen and done several studies that look at Mars missions as a logistics and resupply problem. These studies show that resources from the moon could be extremely beneficial for Mars missions.
I certainly wouldn't have expected the committee to bring up the subject of 'Do you have some people working behind the scenes looking at lunar surface scenarios?' anymore than I would expect him to confirm the Chronicle's reporting.

What was most depressing was the explanations given about key architecture decisions being unnecessary for almost a decade from now. There were some very informative tweets out of the meeting today that seem to indicate that NASA really has no idea how it's going to go about getting to Mars.

Robert Pearlman
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posted 04-08-2015 06:15 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Nothing about Gerstanmaier's comment to the Chronicle contradicts what he told the NAC today.

As mentioned up thread, ISRU could be accomplished from cis-lunar space, sending down robotic missions to mine the resources that you've already mapped using robotic orbiters.

Sending humans to the surface is a good idea if your goal is to settle on the moon, but if your focus is on Mars, then the benefits of astronauts on the surface become less apparent.

As for not knowing how to get to Mars, that work is only getting started. NASA's approach, as outlined today, is designed to advance capabilities step by step so when we are ready to go, all the parts are available to support whatever shape that final ship and mission takes.

Fra Mauro
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posted 04-13-2015 10:58 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Fra Mauro   Click Here to Email Fra Mauro     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
It must be a bit strange to be planning for a Mars mission that will happen, if at all, when these people will long be retired. That is quite unlike the Apollo era, when you had a chance of being around for the first landing.

Robert Pearlman
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From: Houston, TX
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posted 04-13-2015 11:06 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
In regards to planning, NASA is targeting a Mars mission by the mid-2030s, 20 years from now. Considering there are still Apollo-era team workers working at NASA, 45+ years later, it is not unreasonable to think those doing the planning today could still be there in two decades.

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