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Author Topic:   Price evolution for space related items
Rocket Chris
Member

Posts: 357
From: Guttentag
Registered: Nov 2009

posted 09-14-2020 04:37 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Rocket Chris   Click Here to Email Rocket Chris     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I don't know if this discussion has existed here before, but I'm amazed at the attitudes of some people and wonder what's going on in their heads.

I check here and there for flown artifacts and am always amazed at what some people ask for the things they offer.

There are horrendous prices that are completely way off. Just because something was for e.g. once declared as Space Shuttle hardware where there is no evidence at all that it has been flown or if it even belongs to the program. Or other spare parts where people think they got the treasure and try to sell these dubious things just to see the money rolling.

I observe especially on eBay but also here at cS that some people are just looking for a profit and that the circle of collectors is becoming more and more to an illustrious group of bigwigs. There are just a few collectors who sell some of their items for a realistic price and they are not just out for the money.

There are enough examples on eBay where I recently found an ASTP lucite from the ASF offered for 1000US $?!?!. I mean, come on, that's no longer in any relation. Above all, a this seller who probably offers his collection as an "investment" on eBay has an asking price where I can't get out of the wonder.

I know that there are rare items which have history and that a collector who wants to pay for the item, pays the item, but in my opinion the collection of space stuff became more and more to a greedy trading "industry." Also those guys form the "space dealers" series show how people gonna push that market just for profit.

Anyway, I would like to open this discussion and want to see if I am the only one who observes that behavior.

Daniel Lazecky
Member

Posts: 488
From: Czech Republic-Europe
Registered: Oct 2007

posted 09-14-2020 09:58 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Daniel Lazecky   Click Here to Email Daniel Lazecky     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Christopher, he's right about what he wrote as well. I've been collecting for 37 years. I see how day by day the vision of having something in the collection is lost as well. It is a trend in the autographs offered as well. As well as the disproportionate cost of postage as well. Collectors in the US have the advantage of home soil. I am from Europe and I do not have such opportunities either.

On eBay, I have very modest sellers who have favorable prices as well. If, as a European, I buy something from another collector, then I still have to reckon with one obstacle that will make the purchased goods more expensive by leaps and bounds. This is a customs duty as well. Nevertheless, I like to look at least a little bit, if my financial situation allows it as well.

It must be admitted that there are many attractions and rarities and you can't have everything. Everyone cheers and collects something different in the industry. That diversity is also interesting.

If I can add something else as well, then it's a bit of a vague look at collectors from the former Eastern Europe as well. There were and still are many witnesses and collectors here before the regime changed from communist to democracy. Many of them were not allowed to receive everything from them abroad, and so NASA was sent as well. Many correspondence checked and censored as well. Sometimes an empty envelope came, despite the amount of material it contained. But that is a thing of the past.

I greet all collectors, as well as those whom cosmonautics fills with knowledge and enthusiasm for the development of this scientific direction.

SkyMan1958
Member

Posts: 922
From: CA.
Registered: Jan 2011

posted 09-14-2020 11:39 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for SkyMan1958   Click Here to Email SkyMan1958     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
As a long time collector of numismatics (coins, bills, medals etc.) I can tell you that eBay has been a "Wild West" for buyers/sellers since the beginning. There are lots of coins out there that have ridiculous asking prices. Funny thing about those coins... they never sell.

It's a free society. If you think something is too expensive, then don't buy it. If the dealer is in it as a business, then they have to sell their item or go out of business. The successful dealers know what price to buy at, and what price to sell at.

Another item for coin buyers to be aware of on eBay is counterfeits. With regards to the space memorabilia field, that is comparable to sellers claiming that their item was "flown" etc. It is incumbent on the buyer to make a determination whether the sellers claim is believable or not. Unfortunately many buyers don't do their homework and get screwed. This problem has been around for so long that there's even a Latin phrase from the Roman Empire era... Caveat Emptor... Buyer Beware!

There are lots of inexpensive ways to get into space collecting. One way I particularly like is to download NASA imagery files, and then have them printed up at a Walgreens. There are thousands and thousands of cool pictures out there waiting for you to hang on your walls.

tothemoon
Member

Posts: 25
From: California
Registered: May 2020

posted 09-14-2020 01:46 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for tothemoon     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I tend to take all prices listed as asking and open to negotiation. Even if we can't agree on a price, it usually sparks a fun conversation and a friendly "good luck."

I take no offense to folks asking whatever price they'd like, and if I make a new space collector friend because of the negotiating conversation, then that's a positive.

hbw60
Member

Posts: 92
From:
Registered: Aug 2018

posted 09-14-2020 03:02 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for hbw60   Click Here to Email hbw60     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Sadly, a lot of this is just a legitimate rise in the value of these items. Every day, new people learn about this hobby, and that increases competition. I've been a space exploration fanatic my entire life, but I didn't realize it was legal to own these kinds of items until somewhat recently. I often feel like I joined the hobby just too late to take part in it. Five to 10 years ago, it was possible to get items at low prices, and to meet astronauts at events like SpaceFest. But that era is ending fast, and prices are reflecting that.

In 2009, John Young started selling his collection at Heritage Auctions. That year, an Apollo 16 heatshield plug in lucite sold for about $1,300. This summer, his widow listed another, which sold for $13,000. That's a somewhat extreme example, but browsing the auctions shows that prices have more than tripled on average in the past decade.

My dream is to collect heatshield lucites from Geminis 8 and 10, and Apollos 8, 11, and 16. If I knew about this hobby in 2009, I could have afforded them. But now, I doubt it'll ever happen. There are definitely sellers out there asking deeply unfair prices. But in general, I think the hobby is just becoming exponentially more expensive. The Armstrong Family Collection was widely promoted and publicized back in 2018, and I think that's the moment when things finally started getting unattainable.

And the lockdowns and quarantines this year certainly didn't help. A lot more people are shopping online, since they can't travel or go shopping in person. I've noticed that auction prices in general are much higher than they were just six months ago.

Larry McGlynn
Member

Posts: 1295
From: Boston, MA
Registered: Jul 2003

posted 09-14-2020 08:49 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Larry McGlynn   Click Here to Email Larry McGlynn     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I have heard this same argument for many years. In fact, if you look at this message board in the years 1999 to 2001, you will see the same discussion.

"Hbw60" is correct, the prices go up over time. In 1997, you could buy an Apollo 11 black star chart from Buzz Aldrin at Superior Galleries for $2000 USD. In 2009, an Apollo 11 star chart sold for $218,000USD at Bonhams in New York.

In 1999, Christie's held a space auction that was heavily advertised, and the prices skyrocketed. That was a para-dynamic change in the space hobby as newly wealthy dot.com owners flocked to the market. The next major change was the passage of the Astronaut Bill because it conferred ownership of flown material to the Apollo era astronauts. Now people did not have to worry about their collections being replevined. That is where we stand now.

As for eBay, that is truly a buyer beware operation. While one may with excellent knowledge pick up a diamond in the rough, it is for the most part full of fakes and overpriced objects. As SkyMan1958 stated, it is the "Wild West." So, one must do their research before diving into that arena.

It is tough as a collector these days. The prices have increased exponentially over the last twenty years. While there have been ups and downs in the market due to cycles in the economy, the prices recover and then increase beyond the prior highs. It is a matter of timing the market.

But do not give up hope. Have patience because these items come back on the market with surprising regularity. What you miss now will be back in a few years.

Finally, those jerks on Space Dealers really did not know what they were doing (I ought to know since I was one of the show's actors), but they were just following what other space dealers and "vest pocket" dealers have been doing for years. Buy low, sell high. Remember TV does not innovate, it imitates.

Do your research and do not give up hope. — Larry "Bloodhound" McGlynn

Rocket Chris
Member

Posts: 357
From: Guttentag
Registered: Nov 2009

posted 09-15-2020 12:49 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Rocket Chris   Click Here to Email Rocket Chris     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I find it remarkable that someone who was part of this series has the courage to express himself in this way. Thanks Larry.

Without a doubt, artifacts become more precious and expensive over time, but as you said the maximum profit is disproportionately in the foreground for many.

I'm also interested in the fact that many people demand a huge amount for it just because something comes from the space program without even knowing what exactly they have offered. When I see some offers and their prices with the note "not sure if flown" but then charge a horrendous sum, I really ask myself what do these people actually believe? But like you said, you have to wish luck for selling and just let go.

Again, I find it very honorable and brave that you, as a dealer, former performer on the TV show, bring out the negative aspect for yourself and the market.

Chuckster01
Member

Posts: 997
From: Orlando, FL
Registered: Jan 2014

posted 09-15-2020 01:31 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Chuckster01   Click Here to Email Chuckster01     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I have also been a long time collector with my interest in the space field going back to my teenage years. My collection has gotten so large that every now and then I am forced to thin out the herd.

My issue has always been the fair asking price of any item and I have many so-called rare or hard to find items. So I have opted in most cases to sell at auction with no reserve. I figure the market will always find its own "fair price."

I do not collect for the money and years ago I used to pass my items on for very near my purchase price but it breaks me heart when I sell an item to a collector or cS member only to see it relisted for several times my sale price in a very short period of time.

No one wants to give away the items in the collection or to over charge anyone who wants to add the their collection but the dealer resale of space items and the cutting up of artifacts for profit have led me to auction 95% of my items. It seems to me the fair way to value collectibles.

spaced out
Member

Posts: 3127
From: Paris, France
Registered: Aug 2003

posted 09-15-2020 03:30 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for spaced out   Click Here to Email spaced out     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
As Larry mentions above the space collectibles market has always felt like something you've joined just too late to get the real bargains.

The Superior and Odyssey auctions of the 1990s featured unique flown items direct from some of the astronauts that sold for what today seem ludicrously small amounts. This was effectively before the internet so few people knew of them and only those who could attend in person were really competing against each other.

The Christies auction of 1999 shook things up because it reached a far wider audience, including wealthy generalist collectors, and made the astronauts realize there was a real market for some of the items they had stashed in boxes in the attic.

The Aurora auctions of the early-mid 2000s brought space collectibles to a worldwide on-line market, and Heritage and RR took on the same role in the late 2000s.

At each step of the way the prices being realized looked expensive compared to what had gone before, but in retrospect those prices now look like bargains. That's just the way it is when the market is still growing.

I have to say that even though prices today may look over the top, if you take a look at the prices realized in major auctions of music memorabilia, movie prop memorabilia, or other categories of historical artifacts you might be amazed at the prices fetched by seemingly mundane items.

garymilgrom
Member

Posts: 1975
From: Atlanta, GA
Registered: Feb 2007

posted 09-15-2020 08:09 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for garymilgrom   Click Here to Email garymilgrom     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Some good advice above. I'd like to point out this is not limited to space collectibles or even collectibles — you can find examples of price gouging everywhere. Just this weekend I bought a common kitchen supply for half the price I saw advertised on Amazon.

Greed is part of this, but there's nothing wrong with profit either. A seller has the right to ask their price, and a buyer has the right to make a counter offer. Do your research and shop around, I'm sure you'll find some interesting and affordable items.

Larry McGlynn
Member

Posts: 1295
From: Boston, MA
Registered: Jul 2003

posted 09-15-2020 08:11 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Larry McGlynn   Click Here to Email Larry McGlynn     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by Rocket Chris:
I find it very honorable and brave that you, as a dealer, former performer on the TV show, bring out the negative aspect for yourself and the market.
Thank you for the compliment, Chris. I actually am not a dealer. Never have been. I played a character on a TV show. While people do say that I am a grumpy, sarcastic, old guy in real life, that was an acting job for me. Those deals were simulations of deals that have been happening for years. But even if I was a dealer, I wouldn't apologize for attempting to make money. I would just know enough about the hobby to be able to price an object that would sell and make a profit.

I have been collecting space memorabilia since 1959. I have watched the hobby go from free autographs to paying $500 or more for one autograph. As Chris (Spaced out) said, we have watched the prices of artifacts rise because of the increased attraction to the hobby.

As I stated before, eBay is not a true indicator of pricing. It is a large community flea market for the masses. Amateurs, who found something at a garage sale, will look at Google find the price of an exceptional space object and use that as their pricing model on a minor piece. All one can do is laugh at it and move on.

It is interesting to see these topics of increasing prices and dealer vs collector come up again after 20 years. These same discussions took place in the late 90s and early 2000s on this board and they will probably be topics in the 2030s. It the nature of collecting in general.

One thing I can tell you that I have learned over the years in this hobby and I would like to pass onto you is to become passionate about your hobby, do your research, and be patient as an item that was unattainable in the past will appear again at a price that meets your budget.

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