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  Planetary protection, pandemics and Mars

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Author Topic:   Planetary protection, pandemics and Mars
Blackarrow
Member

Posts: 3604
From: Belfast, United Kingdom
Registered: Feb 2002

posted 04-10-2020 09:28 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Blackarrow     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Given the worldwide chaos being caused by a terrestrial virus, are we fooling ourselves if we expect astronauts to be sent to Mars anytime in the foreseeable future?

It has yet to be established whether Mars harbours indigenous life, but personally I believe that the finding of lifeforms in the most extreme conditions imaginable on Earth is an indicator that life will be found under the surface of Mars, away from the radiation-blasted surface.

Any future expedition to Mars will certainly look for indigenous lifeforms. It will be a primary mission objective. What if unimpeachable evidence of life is confirmed? Let's say a native Martian virus is discovered. Might there not be a certain reluctance to bring it back to Earth "just in case?"

I am not a doctor or a virologist and therefore cannot comment on the feasibility of an alien virus surviving deep under Mars, let alone causing a global pandemic here on Earth, but I know a little bit about human nature and human fears (both rational and irrational). In the current climate, and perhaps for the foreseeable future, is it not inevitable that any talk about astronauts landing on Mars, digging deep below its surface, and coming back to Earth with whatever they find, will generate widespread concern and opposition?

It probably doesn't matter whether that opposition will be as rational as the people who destroy 5G cell-phone masts. It will be based on the simple argument: look what damage a previously-unknown Earth virus has done! Why take even a tiny, tiny risk of bringing "something nasty" back from Mars? If you are a U.S. Senator with a very slim majority and your re-election campaign is dogged by crowds chanting "Save the Earth! Keep Away from Mars!" how might you vote when funding for a Mars expedition comes up for debate?

Current plans seem to point eventually to a Mars orbital mission. Even that might fall foul of hysteria once there is any talk of landing on Phobos or Deimos to bring back samples of regolith (often speculated to include "carbon-rich organics" — how would they play in the tabloid press and on social media?)

This argument may sound unnecessarily pessimistic but even if the odds of bringing back "something nasty" are considered to be, say, 1 in 100 million, it should be born in mind that the chance of winning the UK National Lottery is 1 in 45 million and the chance of winning the U.S. Mega Millions jackpot is 1 in 302 million, yet people still participate! (And if you don't understand how poorly most people understand odds, ask a regular lottery participant if they would ever pick last week's winning numbers this week.)

To sum up, I am suggesting that COVID-19 will put paid to any plans to land astronauts on Mars, Phobos or Deimos; or to bring samples back robotically, for the foreseeable future. It may be a good example of having nothing to fear but fear itself, but if enough voters decide that it just isn't worth "risking the destruction of humanity" and the politicians take the easy option, then plans to "get your ass to Mars" are toast.

SpaceAholic
Member

Posts: 5246
From: Sierra Vista, Arizona
Registered: Nov 1999

posted 04-10-2020 03:42 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for SpaceAholic   Click Here to Email SpaceAholic     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
The MRL (Martian Receiving Laboratory) will mitigate all these concerns.

Robert Pearlman
Editor

Posts: 50516
From: Houston, TX
Registered: Nov 1999

posted 04-10-2020 03:51 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Leonard David wrote an article on this topic for Space.com: What can the coronavirus outbreak teach us about bringing Mars samples back to Earth?
Scientists have various schools of thought on hauling Mars samples back to our planet, John Rummel, a senior scientist at the SETI Institute in California and NASA's planetary protection officer from 1986 to 1993 and 1997 to 2006, said. But the planned, precautionary approach, based on strict containment and testing for life and biohazards, is compatible with the potential to discover life in a sample, or elsewhere on Mars by other means, as it would still allow for a sample to be returned.

"If one finds life in the sample, one has a good chance of being able to study it in containment," Rummel said. "The downside of this approach is that it is more expensive [in terms of establishing the containment facility], up-front, than ignoring life on Mars."

As the recent report to NASA from the Planetary Protection Independent Review Board stated, this approach requires that a sample-handling facility dedicated to analyzing and testing Martian samples be developed up-front.

Rummel said that, if something like the coronavirus situation pops up, then any other containment facility may not be available in a timely way, and may not be able to meet the cleanliness requirements that will ensure that any organisms discovered in the sample came from Mars, and not from Earth after the sample arrives.

Blackarrow
Member

Posts: 3604
From: Belfast, United Kingdom
Registered: Feb 2002

posted 04-11-2020 08:54 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Blackarrow     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by SpaceAholic:
The MRL (Martian Receiving Laboratory) will mitigate all these concerns.

My concern is that any MRL containing Martian life-forms will be attacked on two fronts. One set of protesters will be trying to break in to burn down the MRL to "neutralize the risk." The other set of protesters will be trying to break in to "rescue" and "release" the Martian life-forms.

Meanwhile, there will be court applications by people arguing that the "human rights" of the Martian organisms are being infringed and that they should be set free.

As the Bard said: "Oh brave new world, that has such people in't."

Philip
Member

Posts: 6217
From: Brussels, Belgium
Registered: Jan 2001

posted 04-12-2020 04:17 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Philip   Click Here to Email Philip     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Nobel Prize winner Dr. Joshua Lederberg was among the first scientists to raise concerns about planetary protection in 1957.

Blackarrow
Member

Posts: 3604
From: Belfast, United Kingdom
Registered: Feb 2002

posted 04-14-2020 04:31 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Blackarrow     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Ironically, when I first raised this topic I was unaware that the second season of the National Geographic series "Mars" actually deals with a Mars pathogen infecting and killing members of the scientific base on Mars. As the "enemy" is a bug, not a virus, it turns out that ordinary penicillin will kill it.

Nothing so simple here on Earth with COVID-19, but popular culture has always raised a fear in the minds of Earthlings that Mars is a source of disease, pain and death. Popular culture should not determine where we can and cannot explore, but if it is allowed to infect the minds of the decision-makers, we may be effectively barred from the Martian system for the foreseeable future. I hope I'm wrong.

LM1
Member

Posts: 861
From: New York, NY
Registered: Oct 2010

posted 04-15-2020 06:26 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for LM1   Click Here to Email LM1     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
You are right. There has been some speculation on the science cable channels that comets and meteors may have delivered viruses to the Earth in the past and may do it again in the future. I agree with what you said about returning Mars samples to Earth - they may contain viruses that could get loose on Earth.

Do you recall when the Apollo crews were quarantined for a short time after their return to Earth. NASA knew even then (50 years ago) that there was a slight chance that they may be harboring a contaminant of some kind.

Also, it may take years for the world economy to recover from the current pandemic. Any hope of a manned mission of any kind to the surface or vicinity (orbit) of Mars has been set back considerably by the struggle to defeat Corona-19. Keep safe!

Blackarrow
Member

Posts: 3604
From: Belfast, United Kingdom
Registered: Feb 2002

posted 04-15-2020 08:43 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Blackarrow     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
An interesting comparison, but I don't recall any popular concern about Apollo 11 bringing back "Moon-germs." I do recall a general sense that it was an overabundance of caution, but it was a relatively simple precaution, and I assume NASA felt it had a responsibility to "go the extra mile." Of course, we didn't have the "benefit" of social media whipping up false hysteria in those days.

Time will tell if you are right about a set-back for space exploration, but there is another way of looking at it. I'm not an American, but I could see the Trump Administration saying: "We're pressing ahead to the Moon" because the cost would be "a drop in the ocean compared to the financial burden from Covid-19" and a clear, achievable goal in the short-to-medium term would potentially act as "a beacon of hope for the American people in these dark times."

It sounds so counter-intuitive that it actually makes sense. And we already know how many medical diagnostic advancements were by-products of Apollo.

LM1
Member

Posts: 861
From: New York, NY
Registered: Oct 2010

posted 04-15-2020 03:27 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for LM1   Click Here to Email LM1     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Interesting assessment of the Trump Administration's ambitions to do great things that would benefit the US. And we are spending so much fighting this pandemic that a trip to the Moon could be thought of as a "drop in the bucket."

This appropriation will be huge and is meant to prevent a recession (or even a depression) if the economy does not snap back when the economy is restarted. So an added appropriation for space exploration would be peanuts.

Ross
Member

Posts: 531
From: Australia
Registered: Jul 2003

posted 04-16-2020 10:33 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Ross   Click Here to Email Ross     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
A couple of points.

While it was prudent to take some precautions when returning from the Moon it was extremely unlikely that there were Moon bugs for two reasons. Firstly it is believed that the Moon was never suitable for life and secondly the intense solar radiation would have destroyed any bacteria near the surface. Mars, on the other hand, is believed to have had conditions suitable for life in the past. And that life may still exist under the surface.

Secondly, the precautions taken for Apollo would hardly have been acceptable if there was any real chance of bringing life back to Earth. For example, if there was a real chance of returning living things, the Apollo capsule would never have been opened until connected to a tunnel to the quarantine unit on the PRS. Then the tunnel and capsule would have been thoroughly fumigated before being opened.

Thirdly, there is significant debate/doubt about whether Mars' life would be dangerous to Earth life. On Earth bacteria and viruses develop closely with Earth life, such as monkeys, bats etc and then transfer to humans. There is significant doubt that life developed outside the Earth could infect life on Earth. However, of course, it is better to take the precautions and be sure.

This all means that a spacecraft returning from Mars probably should first be quarantined on a Space Station rather than returning directly to Earth.

Robert Pearlman
Editor

Posts: 50516
From: Houston, TX
Registered: Nov 1999

posted 04-16-2020 12:56 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
As if on cue for this thread, Michael Meyer, lead scientist for the Mars exploration program at NASA headquarters outlined the plans for a Mars sample return mission on Wednesday (April 15). He didn't address the quarantine issue (or it wasn't included in Nature's reporting) but did outline for the first time how the mission would unfold.
The first spacecraft would land in Jezero crater. There, a small rover would make its way to Perseverance and pick up the filled sampling tubes. The small rover would transfer those tubes to a "Mars ascent vehicle," which is essentially a small rocket with a container to carry the samples. The Mars ascent vehicle would then blast off from the surface and place the container into Martian orbit.

The second spacecraft would then maneuver itself next to the sample container, pick it up and fly it back to Earth. It would plummet to the ground at high speed, likely landing in a military training ground in Utah...

If all goes to schedule, the sample-return spacecraft will reach Mars in 2028. The small rover would do its work collecting and loading tubes during a season that is free of Martian dust storms and cold winter temperatures. After leaving Mars, the samples would land in Utah in September 2031.

All times are CT (US)

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