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  MIT: The Future of Human Spaceflight

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Author Topic:   MIT: The Future of Human Spaceflight
Robert Pearlman
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Posts: 50516
From: Houston, TX
Registered: Nov 1999

posted 12-15-2008 02:50 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
The Space, Policy, and Society Research Group at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) released today a white paper: The Future of Human Spaceflight.
The United States stands at the threshold of a new era of human spaceflight. In its first term, the new administration will make the most important decisions in a generation about this endeavor. What are those decisions, and how should they be made in the best interests of the country?

To answer these questions we rethink the rationales for government-funded human spaceflight and then address current policy questions in light of those rationales.

Of note to readers of this website, among the paper's authors were collectSPACE members Larry McGlynn and John Tylko.

I am told that the group recently briefed President-Elect Obama's transition team and that a more in-depth paper is to be released by the American Academy of Arts & Sciences in the coming weeks.

rjurek349
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Posts: 1223
From: Northwest Indiana
Registered: Jan 2002

posted 12-15-2008 02:59 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for rjurek349   Click Here to Email rjurek349     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Way to go Larry and John!

I just pulled down a PDF version and look forward to reading it. Congratulations,

Rich

LCDR Scott Schneeweis
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posted 12-15-2008 04:14 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for LCDR Scott Schneeweis   Click Here to Email LCDR Scott Schneeweis     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Instructive read Larry/John...

The white pager cited as primary objectives for Human Space Flight those things that can only be accomplished through the physical presence of human beings, have benefits that exceed the opportunity costs, and are worthy of significant risk to human life - within that context, the objectives listed included National pride, International prestige and Leadership. These are not quantifiable/tangible objectives and seem incongruant with the criteria as defined within the document (each can be achieved/demonstrated without a specific human presence in space); IMO they are more appropriately classified as beneficial perceptions derived from successful execution of actual hard objectives. There are tangible secondary objectives called out in the paper (Science, Economic development, New technologies, Education) but these are equated with benefits that do not merit significant risk.

As an example of a primary objective (worthy of significant risk and benefits that exceed opportunity cost) I would have recommended "Ensure the long term survivability of Humans and the nation state" (i.e. though establishment of a robust permanent presence in space).

Too, what criteria/value threshold was established to correlate which specific objectives merited a given degree of risk? Why wouldn't activities associated with human spaceflight that have the potential to SAVE future lives (these can include a subset of the scientific, technological and economic objectives) be assessed as worthy of placing astronauts in harms way if the anticipated payoff is many lives saved/improved down the road?

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Scott Schneeweis
http://www.SPACEAHOLIC.com/

All times are CT (US)

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