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  Orion's crew size: four or six seats, ISS or Moon

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Author Topic:   Orion's crew size: four or six seats, ISS or Moon
Robert Pearlman
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posted 04-22-2009 08:01 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Aviation Week: Weight Forcing NASA To Shrink Orion Crew
NASA engineers are "on the verge" of pulling two crew seats from their design for the Orion crew exploration vehicle, at least at first, to save weight.

That would mean that when NASA regains the ability to fly astronauts to orbit in the post-shuttle era, it will start with a crew of four instead of six. Four seats have been the baseline for the version of Orion that would take astronauts back to the Moon, but the initial operational capability (IOC) to deliver crew to the International Space Station (ISS) currently calls for a six-seat version.

Jeff Hanley, manager of the Constellation Program that is developing the Orion, its Ares I crew launch vehicle and the follow-on lunar vehicles, told Aviation Week on April 22 that the Orion design is within "plus or minus a couple of hundred pounds" of the 21,000-pound maximum for the command module set by a requirement to land safely with only two of the three main parachutes deployed.

"Right now we're studying and really on the verge of deciding that we're going to start with four," Hanley said. "That gives us a common lunar and ISS version, but we've sized the system and have a design for six, so we'll grow our capability as we need it."

Robert Pearlman
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posted 04-28-2009 11:53 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Huntsville Times: NASA slashes Orion Crew Exploration Vehicle crew size to four
NASA is slimming down its Orion Crew Exploration Vehicle by removing two seats and cutting its crew size from six people to four, a space agency spokesman confirmed late Monday.

"As part of the Constellation Program's Integrated Program Review on April 14-17, NASA decided that the Orion will be baselined to initially carry four, instead of six, crew to the International Space Station," Hautaluoma said. "The Orion crew module's size and shape, which can support a six-person crew option, will not change as a result of this decision, thus giving NASA the flexibility to carry six crew for other missions."

NASA made the crew size change "in order to improve schedule and cost confidence by minimizing multiple configurations under simultaneous development during the Program's early phases," Hautaluoma said. "While a four-person crew would save some mass, the issue of mass savings was not a major factor in the decision-making process."

teopze
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posted 04-28-2009 01:42 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for teopze   Click Here to Email teopze     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Oh well, although I understand the pragmatic reason given by NASA the decision still echoes in my head as yet another step back...

Lasv3
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posted 04-28-2009 02:24 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Lasv3   Click Here to Email Lasv3     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
If the mass saving was not the major factor then what was it? Anyway, mass saving can't really be the main factor, there are many ways how to save the mass without cutting the crew seats and it is the contractor's role to achieve the specification targets. So this looks like contractor did not deliver and the question is why is NASA willing to accept this?

Robert Pearlman
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posted 04-28-2009 02:45 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
This decision, as I understand it, was driven by NASA, not Lockheed Martin (the contractor).

The article explains why the crew is being standardized at four; supporting multiple configurations (six for ISS, four for the Moon) complicates the process of designing and building Orion. It streamlines the process to use a "one ship fits all" approach, especially at a time when NASA is trying to accelerate the schedule.

Apollo Redux
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posted 04-29-2009 02:18 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Apollo Redux   Click Here to Email Apollo Redux     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Only one of two reasons for this.
  1. No cash.
  2. Booster can't deliver the goods.

teopze
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posted 04-29-2009 07:18 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for teopze   Click Here to Email teopze     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by Apollo Redux:
Only one of two reasons for this.
Or both...

Robert Pearlman
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posted 04-29-2009 08:07 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Or neither of the above; it could be simply streamling the schedule as stated.

If NASA, for example, exercises its COTS D option, enabling Space X to prepare Dragon for crewed flights to the ISS, then a six person Orion is not as pressing a need as a vehicle that can support four (with that particular payload configuration) for flights to the ISS and the Moon...

Mr Meek
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posted 04-29-2009 08:48 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Mr Meek     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Agreed. The cynical view may not be the right one, though streamlining the design process does relieve pressure on both the money and booster. And while the optimist in me says "Oh, they can pick up the 6-seater on the back end", the realist in me knows that rides to the ISS and moon just got 33% harder to get.

I wonder how, or if, this effects the decisions of the active astronauts that might be on the cusp of retirement in the next few years.

Robert Pearlman
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posted 04-29-2009 08:55 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by Mr Meek:
...the realist in me knows that rides to the ISS and moon just got 33% harder to get.
Keep in mind, the moon was always limited to four people; the six-person option was only to the space station.

Mr Meek
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posted 04-29-2009 09:10 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Mr Meek     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Whoops. You're absolutely right, I had forgotten that.

Robert Pearlman
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posted 04-29-2009 11:08 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by Robert Pearlman:
If NASA, for example, exercises its COTS D option...
It's not quite COTS D (yet) but NASA and the White House announced today that for the first time, funds ($80 million) were being set aside for a commercial human spaceflight demo.

Lasv3
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posted 04-29-2009 11:26 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Lasv3   Click Here to Email Lasv3     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
So it's really not the mass saving, it sounds like a change of strategy, at least for LEO. Will this mean NASA buying not only the Soyuz seats until Orion flies but also from private providers afterwards? I'm a little bit confused.

Robert Pearlman
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posted 04-29-2009 11:44 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
NASA's strategy over the last couple of years has been to have multiple paths to the ISS: Soyuz, Orion and if available, a commercial solution, too. In that regard, the plans have not changed.

However, as those options have matured, the need for a six-seat Orion have taken a back seat to the need for a four seat lunar-capable vehicle. And, as the latter is the long pole under the Constellation tent, NASA has chosen to streamline Orion's development to just one, four-seat version.

Think of it this way: when NASA was first building Apollo, they weren't concurrently developing both a three-seat lunar version and a five seat rescue configuration. The latter was always possible, but work didn't start on its design until 1970.

NASA is doing the same thing now: keeping the six-seat capability but setting aside its development until such a vehicle is desired or needed.

Lasv3
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posted 04-29-2009 01:15 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Lasv3   Click Here to Email Lasv3     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Thanks for the explanation Robert, more clear now, but I still wonder what big help this decision to cut one version off brings to NASA. I am far from simplifying but what is the difference between the six-seater and four-seater - it's two extra seats plus increased capacity of the Life Supporting System plus maybe a few other minor changes, the same like with the Apollo Skylab rescue version. The six-seater will operate like a taxi to/from ISS and its independent operational life in orbit will be much shorter that that of the lunar version.

Considering your explanation I'm coming back to my question of the difference between the two versions which I think cannot be that significant.

What would help me to understand better is the original specification of the two versions and the differences justifying two development streamlines.

As for the lunar version development priority I couldn't agree more - I'd love to see the astronauts back to the Moon as soon as possible - I can wait but not another twenty years I'm afraid.

Robert Pearlman
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posted 04-29-2009 01:27 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
As I understand it, you cannot just rearrange equipment inside a spacecraft as you would a room in your house. How you distribute the mass affects flight profiles, as well as logistics aboard the craft.

Nor is adding two more seats to Orion the equivalent of re-installing the back row in a minivan. These designs are not modular; they are for all intents and purposes two different vehicles sharing a common hull. Each must pass their own battery of tests and reviews before they can be declared flight worthy, which adds more time to the schedule.

The engineering specifics of each version have not been published, in part because there are export controls and proprietary concerns.

Lasv3
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posted 04-29-2009 02:07 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Lasv3   Click Here to Email Lasv3     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Well, I see I underestimated the development process. Again, the good sign is the lunar version has got the priority, let's hope NASA makes it before the next decade is over.

Robert Pearlman
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posted 04-29-2009 07:06 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Jeff Hanley, NASA's Constellation Program manager, held an impromptu media telecon this afternoon, during which he clarified the reasons why a change was made from six to four seats for ISS-bound Orion missions.

"We're not giving up on the six-crew capability of Orion. We will need it someday. We don't need it early," he explained, going on to say that standardizing the crew size eliminates the extra time and funding needed to design, build and certify two different Orion vehicles - the four-seater and six-seater - at the same time. "We felt that that was a good program management option to go exercise to simplify the design a little bit."

Lou Chinal
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posted 05-02-2009 08:57 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Lou Chinal   Click Here to Email Lou Chinal     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Think of it as Apollo. It would cost more and take more time to develop a Block 1 and Block 2. They are streamlining the research time.

Lasv3
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posted 05-03-2009 02:25 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Lasv3   Click Here to Email Lasv3     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Thanks for the explanations guys, now it's clear to me. My way of thinking was - the fourseat lunar version is more demanding and will operate independently for much longer time without the quick return option in case of emergency, so to make a sixseater for substantialy shorter independent LEO operational time (two-three days to the ISS, the same for back home, deactivated during the ISS docked period the same like Soyuz if this will be the case) cannot be such a big deal. Obviously I was wrong and it's more complicated than I thought. Again, fingers crossed for NASA to stick to the schedules to have Orion operational as planned.

328KF
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posted 05-03-2009 11:15 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for 328KF   Click Here to Email 328KF     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Any word on how many Orion ships will be built? Assuming that one (maybe two) might be docked to ISS at any given time, how many are on hand for lunar missions, Hubble de-orbit, or other flights?

What is the expected lifespan of each Orion spacecraft? A limited number of flights or flight hours?

Robert Pearlman
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posted 05-03-2009 11:50 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
The original contract awarded to Lockheed for designing, developing, testing and evaluating Orion included an order to build two spacecraft for initial flights into space.

The contract also included a second stage, to be awarded after the DDT&E was complete, to build a yet to be specified number of Orions.

bobzz
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posted 05-05-2009 11:42 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for bobzz     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Personally I believe we are just experiencing the first of many "downsizings" of the Constellation Program.

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