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Author Topic:   Constellation canceled: cS community impact
music_space
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Posts: 1179
From: Canada
Registered: Jul 2001

posted 02-01-2010 07:19 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for music_space   Click Here to Email music_space     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
While the political decision to cancel Constellation is documented and analysed in other forums, let us maybe discuss the effect of this on us as astronautical historians, collectors and educators.
  • Will this impact your artifact acquisition strategies?

  • How will it alter the enjoyment you derive as a space historian?

  • Is this going to change the way you reach out to the community about your passion?

328KF
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Posts: 1234
From:
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posted 02-01-2010 08:01 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for 328KF   Click Here to Email 328KF     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Thanks for starting the new thread that will engage us in something other than banging our heads in the wall!

It will, of course, alter our collection strategies, as the shuttle/ISS programs find their place in history. The Mercury, Gemini, and Apollo programs take on even more significance in the absence of any firm plan to return to the moon in the near-term.

I also think that Constellation memorabilia might take on a unique place in the collections of some, as a symbol of how much hard work was accomplished and how quickly it can be erased.

Next time around, maybe we'll get the hardware paid for and underway first, then come up with the fancy patches and such when it's time to fly.

Buy them now while they're cheap... something tells me that the NASA is going to want these swept under the rug as quick as Dan Goldin wanted to get rid of the "worm."

ilbasso
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Posts: 1522
From: Greensboro, NC USA
Registered: Feb 2006

posted 02-01-2010 08:29 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for ilbasso   Click Here to Email ilbasso     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I'm thinking that the Constellation trinkets that Robert handed out at Spacefest last year have increased in interest overnight!

music_space
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Posts: 1179
From: Canada
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posted 02-01-2010 08:42 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for music_space   Click Here to Email music_space     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I realize that in a way, I was seeing myself as a champion of lunar space exploration history as to share all this that has taken place in our recent past "and just wait till we get to see the next phase of this". Now that it probably won't take place during my contemporaries' lifetimes, I feel -- at least at the moment -- that I am losing a motivational handle in my outreach. I will certainly have to reassess some of the communication objectives of my public presentations.

As far as my collection is concerned, the same is true. I envisionned myself sharing one day later in life the history of the first phase of lunar exploration while the second phase would be taking place... It saddens me to know that it might not happen that way...

In a way, I am more than ever the custodian of a collection representative of days and motivations gone by. I remember a late friend of mine who spent the second half of his lifetime sharing his passion for pre-WWII aeronautical history. While he knew from the outset that he was confining himself to share a passion which was doomed to carry ever increasing nostalgic overtones, he couldn't help but feel embittered by it at the end of his life. I'll have to reflect and reposition my passion as not to fall into this state of mind!

328KF
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posted 02-01-2010 10:23 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for 328KF   Click Here to Email 328KF     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Well that is a very eloquent way of expressing what many of us feel today. In the U.S., we are very fortunate to have some amazing museums full of some of the greatest aviation and space relics you can imagine.

The Wright Flyer, the Bell X-1, Friendship 7, Columbia, and soon, all three remaining space shuttles serve as reminders of what mankind has accomplished in his endeavour to conquer the skies.

I have grown up visting these places. I was there the day they opened the doors at the National Air and Space Museum in Washington, D.C. I was there the day they opened the doors at the NASM Dulles facility. I have seen countless aviation and space heroes come to these places and share their experiences first-hand.

I often think of making it to retirement and enjoying my days speaking to young visitors at the museum about all of the spacecraft, spacesuits, satellites, and rockets in the collection. Maybe one of those kids would go to Phobos, Deimos, Mars, or Europa.

My hope was that by the time I was doing this, there would be much more to talk about, but it seems that will not be the case. The last "new" addition I saw to the museum was Spaceship One, and that was really cool, but it remains to be seen if Spaceship Two will fulfill the promise of the X-Prize dream. I am much more confident that this project will be successful than I am of this "lack of a plan" proposed by the current administration.

I fear that once the Discovery, Atlantis, and Endeavour join the collection, they will be the other bookends on the era of American manned spaceflight.

There are many obstacles that may stop this "experiment" dead in its' tracks, and that will give the politicians in power the excuse they want to pull the plug on the whole thing. One technical mistake causing an accident, one cost overrun, one stray piece of space junk disabling the ISS, and it is all over.

And that will be a sad thing to explain to the kids.

Rob Sumowski
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Posts: 466
From: Macon, Georgia
Registered: Feb 2000

posted 02-01-2010 11:53 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Rob Sumowski   Click Here to Email Rob Sumowski     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by 328KF:
And that will be a sad thing to explain to the kids.
My sentiments exactly. Does anybody else here feel really jerked around?

Matt T
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Posts: 1368
From: Chester, Cheshire, UK
Registered: May 2001

posted 02-02-2010 12:48 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Matt T   Click Here to Email Matt T     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Absolutely.

In answer to the original query - it's been very revealing. In all likelihood the long term value of Apollo collectibles just rose, as there won't be new lunar flown artifacts appearing by the trunk-load any day soon. But I find that I'd honestly rather lose some money than be where I am today - a collector of hardware from a closed archaic period in history.

AstronautBrian
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Posts: 287
From: Louisiana
Registered: Jan 2006

posted 02-02-2010 12:54 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for AstronautBrian   Click Here to Email AstronautBrian     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by Rob Sumowski:
Does anybody else here feel really jerked around?

That's a pretty good way to put it. I guess I should have known better.

I'm not going to let it kill my interest in the hobby, though. I will still collect and read and study the history and just keep wondering what is around the bend...

OLDIE
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Posts: 267
From: Portsmouth, England
Registered: Sep 2004

posted 02-02-2010 03:08 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for OLDIE     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
At the risk of seeming impertinent, don't forget that China is still in the Space Race. Whether she will stay the course, now there's no competition, remains to be seen!
Philatelic items have been around for some time. Whether other stuff will follow is anybodies guess.

Jay Chladek
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Posts: 2272
From: Bellevue, NE, USA
Registered: Aug 2007

posted 02-02-2010 04:04 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Jay Chladek   Click Here to Email Jay Chladek     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Well, Constellation may not be dead, although the moon seems further away then ever now (ironically a day or two after one of its closest approaches in orbit).

As for my collecting, I don't exactly have the budget of some people here. As such, I don't strive for pieces of flown history or a lot of autographs. I do like memories though and sharing them with others. Maybe that is why I like building models, photography and writing. If a piece of my collection helps me to connect with something I remember, then it does the job it was meant to. Any monetary value is secondary.

If Constellation is gone, then the memories of it will be a combination of happy ones (Ares 1-X flying) and sad ones (this day). Combining that with the last flight of the space shuttle and to me it will seem even more sad is it seems we've no longer decided to take worthy risks anymore.

I do have some trinkets to remember Constellation by, such as the ones from Spacefest that Robert gave out, the ones I got at the Ares 1-X launch and a kitbashed model I built of the Ares 1 which I had some of the Ares 1-X managers sign after that beautiful white rocket flew. We all felt history was made that day and it would be the start of something new. Who knows, maybe it still is, or maybe it will lead to such a new thing. Too soon to tell though.

Will it alter my strategy? Probably not as like I said my budget for this stuff isn't great. I will likely still collect the same stuff I did before.

Will it alter my enjoyment? Perhaps it might a little. But time helps to heal all wounds. I still like to visit space museums and look at the artifacts, or pictures of the hardware as I try to figure out what I am seeing.

As to the final question, no it will not as space is my calling. That is why I became an author and something of a budding historian so I could help tell others about these great things people have done which they may not know about. As such, I will continue to write, shoot pictures and build models. A couple of my models are displayed where people can see them and my first book about the space program will be out in a couple more years. If NASA can no longer keep the public's interest, people like us have to in some way. We owe it to those people that gave our planet so much to look up to (literally) to begin with, be they still living or no longer with us.

garymilgrom
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Posts: 1966
From: Atlanta, GA
Registered: Feb 2007

posted 02-02-2010 05:06 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for garymilgrom   Click Here to Email garymilgrom     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I'd like to ask the space workers who read these forums if this will impact their employment plans.

The company I work for has been consulting with NASA on crew restraints for the Orion capsule. I guess that's over - and while it may represent small dollars it was a big part of our marketing efforts.

jimsz
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posted 02-02-2010 06:02 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for jimsz   Click Here to Email jimsz     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
It won't affect my interest all that much.

My collection and interest has focused up to the moon landings and Skylab (I don't purchase too much).

The Shuttle and ISS is something I have little interest in.

As for how I reach into the community about my space passion? I work with kids almost every day and my passion for space is well known. When they ask about men going back to the moon, my answer for the last 3o years has been, maybe in your children's or grandchildren's time but I'll never see it again.

Tykeanaut
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From: Worcestershire, England, UK.
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posted 02-02-2010 08:09 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Tykeanaut   Click Here to Email Tykeanaut     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
For the 'fossils' amongst us, it looks like it was a once in a lifetime event? It is indeed very sad, paradoxically for the US economy I feel. I wonder how many folks will be out of work due to this decision?

As 'OLDIE' says though there is still China, and once they decide to go to the Moon I'm positive the U.S. will find funds from somewhere!

On a personal note it makes Apollo even more special to me, and certainly encourages me to carry on collecting and meeting the moonwalkers whenever possible.

Robert Pearlman
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Posts: 42981
From: Houston, TX
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posted 02-02-2010 10:18 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by garymilgrom:
I'd like to ask the space workers who read these forums if this will impact their employment plans.
I posted this to the Constellation forum thread, but as it addresses this question too, here is NASA Administrator Charlie Bolden's comments today regarding the NASA workforce and the death of Constellation.
This is all emotional. The reason I started my comments by thanking the Constellation team is because you have to understand, everybody has had a death in the family (chokes up), to people who are working on these programs, this is like a death in the family. Everybody needs to understand that and we need to give them time to grieve and then we need to give them time to recover.

I have an incredible workforce of civil servants and civilians. They have been through this before. This is just part of the life of being in NASA. And everytime we manage to pull through it and we manage to recover and we go off and do great things. And this time will be no different.

That doesn't make an employee at the Kennedy Space Center or the Johnson Spaec Center or Marshall Space Flight Center or a contractor that any of these seven people represent, that doesn't give them a great sense of solace because they are facing reality. What I tell them is, look we're going to get through this.

Stick with us if you can, some of you will decide this is just not exciting enough for you and you want to go do other things and I appreciate the service you have given and allow us to help you in your transition. If at all possible, let us help you find some work somewhere else that is going to be passionate to you.

I am a big person for passion. I'm here because I am passionate about space and exploration, otherwise I would be sitting in Houston, Texas or I would be in San Diego with my three granddaughters. I am here because I am passionate about this. I cry about it sometimes. So what? (chokes up)

This is my life. This is their lives. Give them a little time, they'll come back and they are going to be as great as they have always been. Just bear with them and give them some time.

manilajim
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Posts: 256
From: Bergenfield, NJ USA
Registered: May 2000

posted 02-02-2010 10:48 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for manilajim   Click Here to Email manilajim     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
It seems only fitting in an ironic sort of way that Orion and Constellation died during NASA's Week of Remembrance for lost crews - Apollo 1, Challenger and Columbia. Now we can add mourning for our future as well as for the past.

tegwilym
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From: Sturgeon Bay, WI
Registered: Jan 2000

posted 02-02-2010 03:10 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for tegwilym   Click Here to Email tegwilym     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I'm probably still primarily an Apollo freak, but of course I do enjoy it all, but I'd add something Apollo related to my collection first.

I was also thinking this morning, this next trip to Florida this week for STS-130 may be my last trip there in a long time to see anything fly. That's a sad thought too.

E2M Lem Man
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From: Los Angeles CA. USA
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posted 02-02-2010 03:24 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for E2M Lem Man   Click Here to Email E2M Lem Man     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I am reminded of Capt. Jim Lovell's statement upon realizing the impact of the Apollo 13 explosion: "We just lost the Moon".

I am saddened about the jobs, that so many will no longer be working towards a goal. That the mere idea of walking on the Moon will be many more years away than before.

That when and if it next happens - none of the Apollo crews will likely be with us. I have worked in commercial space, I support commercial space - but not at the loss of NASA. The agency is supposed to be the cutting edge leader that commerce is to follow.

My collection has taken on additional value to me, as I was there as a boy to this great accomplishment. The few Constellation pieces I have will stay to show that we still yearn to touch the Moon and Mars.

Ad astra, per aspera!

ilbasso
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From: Greensboro, NC USA
Registered: Feb 2006

posted 02-02-2010 08:09 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for ilbasso   Click Here to Email ilbasso     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Administrator Bolden said it well, this is a death, and we in the space community are experiencing it as such. The loss of the program means that many of our dreams must remain only dreams. Many of our friends, relatives, and colleagues will have their jobs impacted. We have a hard time imagining where we can possibly go from here.

It's very difficult to put the emotion of the loss into words. As someone who actually makes a living teaching other people how to deal with change, it's always humbling for me to experience the grieving process myself. We'll be in Denial for awhile, and then move into the bitterness and frustration of the Resistance stage. Eventually we will turn the corner, when we start putting the past behind us and begin focusing on how to make the most of the realities of the future state.

Personally, I'm still somewhat in the Denial stage, moving into Resistance. I cling to hopes that this will turn around (denial of reality). The pessimist in me comes out in Resistance, insisting that they'll never be able to salvage the situation.

The image I can't get out of my mind is them decommissioning LC-39. I hope that never happens...but it may.

At the ASF event in November this past year, I overheard a whispered conversation between an Apollo astronaut and a Space Shuttle astronaut. The Apollo veteran asked the Shuttle astronaut if he thought that the manned program could be salvaged. The Shuttle astronaut said he thought it was doubtful - that the only chance rested on whether the President would make a bold statement of direction to cast himself in the same mold as Kennedy. So, the insiders already had an inkling this was coming back in November.

I guess it was better to pull the plug on Constellation rather than watch it be bled slowly to death.

SRB
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posted 02-02-2010 10:46 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for SRB   Click Here to Email SRB     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
In the years I have collected Mercury, Gemini and Apollo memorabilia I have always felt that I was collecting the early efforts of the US to have humans explore the heavens, until now. I feel now that the US has abandoned this effort for the foreseeable future. Hoping that private enterprise will do it is wishful thinking. Where is the profit motive beyond space tourism and selling souvenirs from the Moon? That will not recover the billions needed to build rockets and spacecraft to go to the Moon and return safely.

As for Mars, what a disappointment when we have the capability to go there too. The idea that by stopping now for new technology of some kind to be developed, to make it cheap and easy to explore space, is not much more than magical thinking. Our fearless leader(s) have now told us, "I choose not to go to the Moon. Not because we can't but because it is hard."

I'll continue to collect Mercury, Gemini and Apollo as a closed chapter in American history; and collect Chinese space memorabilia since it represents the opening of the next chapter in the human exploration of space.

Spacefest
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From: Tucson, AZ
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posted 02-02-2010 11:47 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Spacefest   Click Here to Email Spacefest     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Well nobody shot MY dog. I'm excited. I felt betrayed when Nixon cancelled Apollo, but I've lived through all sorts of high-tech cancellations, from the SST to the Scramjet.

Governmental vacillations in ISS funding cost me my Houston gallery in 1991. No one in the NASA community knew if they had a job week to week.

I sense a generation gap here. Old timers like me vs. young(er) idealists, who after 30 years of LEO, are disappointed. After Apollo was cancelled, we had only flown a couple dozen men for a little over 10 years.

The President is committed to science. I trust him. This isn't the gutting of NASA, a maddening occurrence that was a congressional staple the past 40 years.

NASA is finally encouraging AND funding private companies, that were a mere annoyance before. Watch 'em go. We'll have Ion-powered spacecraft going to Europa, put together at the space station. An Aldrin Cycler between here and Phobos.

NASA will be imagineering soon. Watch for some pretty radical stuff. Not over-budget, late tests of a man-rated solid booster that's been in service 30 years with a "simulated" fifth segment and inert payload. I found it underwhelming, sorry.

John Young advised long ago that the Orion capsule was too heavy. That's amazing when you think of all the lighter materials that would replace all those rivets and metal.

So chin up, plebes! Listen to Sen. Nelson, Buzz, Charlie Bolden and Lori Garver. It'll be alright.

WAWalsh
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Posts: 809
From: Cortlandt Manor, NY
Registered: May 2000

posted 02-03-2010 08:44 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for WAWalsh   Click Here to Email WAWalsh     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
The decision is an appalling one devoid of insight or vision.

Personally, I would like to see the folks who share their interests here and at similar sites to combine their efforts, lobby Congress and insure the continuation of the program. It is the sudden voices of outrage that can capture the attention of members of Congress and prompt them to change their minds.

As to my collecting activities, I will probably just follow the path of my father. He has a decent collection related to Zepplins and I fear my collection will start to appear to be a window looking back on a lost era.

Tykeanaut
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Posts: 2212
From: Worcestershire, England, UK.
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posted 02-03-2010 09:04 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Tykeanaut   Click Here to Email Tykeanaut     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Having given this a little more thought, it is disappointing not to return to the moon. But I thought at the very least some efforts and funding would have been made available for a trip to Mars. Many, many books from the moon landing era stated we'd be there in the 1980's!

Like the mothballing of Concorde, it seems a drastic one large step backward for mankind.

gliderpilotuk
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Posts: 3398
From: London, UK
Registered: Feb 2002

posted 02-03-2010 03:51 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for gliderpilotuk   Click Here to Email gliderpilotuk     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by Tykeanaut:
Like the mothballing of Concorde, it seems a drastic one large step backward for mankind.
Not exactly. I miss the beauty of Concorde overflying our house inbound to LHR, but like the shuttle it was well past it's best-before date when it came to retirement. Where you are right in the analogy though, is that we never BUILT on the technology that gave us Apollo, Concorde etc. No sense of evolution.

mjanovec
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From: Midwest, USA
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posted 02-03-2010 06:06 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for mjanovec   Click Here to Email mjanovec     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I know one impact of the announcement of Constellation's cancelation will be my greater attention to the Commercial forum here at cS. I have to admit that, prior to the cancellation of Constellation, I spent very little time within the Commerical forum. Visiting that forum recently, I was quite surprised to see just how far along the Falcon 9 construction is. And even if that program is running a little behind, I have been pleasantly surprised (encouraged even) to see what progress has been made in the commercial sector. I hope the recent announcement will only be a shot in the arm for the true visionaries within the commercial sector. Now is their chance to "wow" us with their ideas.

As far as collecting goes, I personally think the shuttle program will take on greater meaning to my own collection. With the program ending, I knew I would focus more on completing certain aspects of that part of my collection. But with no manned lunar flights planned for the foreseeable future, I think it'll give me even greater reason to focus on the shuttle era and spend time to build up that part of my collection. Perhaps I am starting to better appreciate a program that has long been under-appreciated within the community.

And lastly, the cancellation of Constellation only reinforces the awe and wonder of the Mercury-Gemini-Apollo era. Increasingly, that era is looking more like a true miracle where inspiration, political will, measured risk-taking, and a great amount of willpower all combined at the right time to achieve a tremendous goal.

Joel Katzowitz
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From: Marietta GA USA
Registered: Dec 1999

posted 02-06-2010 08:24 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Joel Katzowitz   Click Here to Email Joel Katzowitz     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
These are all very interesting and insightful comments. My feelings pretty much parallel Kim's (Spacefest). I also agree that many of the personal responses seem generational.

I never felt the track of Ares was a good one. My biggest concern was that NASA's response to problems like the pogo effect during launch was more like a bandaid than an elegant engineering solution. It goes to design philosophy.

Politics has always driven the Space program. The good thing about that is that administrations change, policies change, world events change, you get the picture.

I guess I'm more optimistic than most.

SpaceAholic
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Posts: 4437
From: Sierra Vista, Arizona
Registered: Nov 1999

posted 02-06-2010 10:06 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for SpaceAholic   Click Here to Email SpaceAholic     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Focus even more heavily on acquisition and preservation of important legacy flight vehicle technology to serve as a tangible reminder of what we as a nation were capable of as I don't share the optimism of the preceding posters about our future. Until we have some leadership at the helm the probability the US is going to have a meaningful beyond LEO HSF program before 2025 is near zero precisely for the reason Joe just mentioned - policy change which is primarily reactive to the political environment (no stability). The deficit and its ramifications will rein supreme derailing any serious effort to bootstrap manned space.

Blackarrow
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Posts: 3118
From: Belfast, United Kingdom
Registered: Feb 2002

posted 02-06-2010 05:06 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Blackarrow     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I can still look forward to seeing TV of the next astronaut to walk on the Moon. I'm just disappointed that I won't be able to understand what he is saying.

For the benefit of those of you who don't read the London "Times", their political cartoonist's offering on Tuesday last was a Chinese astronaut standing beside a Chinese flag on the Moon (with Old Glory lying nearby in the dust) saying: "That's one small step for China, one giant kick in the goolies for America."

All times are CT (US)

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