Author
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Topic: SLS flight manifest beyond EM-1 and EM-2
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carmelo Member Posts: 1109 From: Messina, Sicilia, Italia Registered: Jun 2004
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posted 02-23-2016 01:47 PM
Exploration Mission 2 (EM-2) and Asteroid Retrieval Mission (ARM) are the only manned missions for Orion/SLS in 2020s decade? And if yes, can this space system be sustainable with a fly rate so low?(Which mission, and when after ARM?) |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 50516 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 02-23-2016 01:56 PM
Currently NASA has planned and Congress has allocated for only two future test missions for Orion: - Exploration Mission-1 (EM-1), targeted for 2018, sends an uncrewed Orion on a distant retrograde orbital flight around the moon.
- Exploration Mission-2 (EM-2), targeted for 2021 but to fly no later than 2023, sends a crewed Orion on a distant retrograde orbital flight around the moon.
Beyond that, Exploration Mission-3 (EM-3), as currently planned, would send a crewed Orion out to a robotically-retrieved asteroid in lunar orbit (the ARM mission). This flight is targeted for late 2025, but is dependent on Congressional authorization and funding.No other specific missions are manifested, though NASA has funded studies for extended Orion missions in lunar orbit that would prepare crews and hardware for longer journeys out into space, including to Mars. As for the program's sustainability, it is yet to be seen. There is an expectation (or at least a hope) that the next President and Congress will allocate funding for additional missions after the Space Launch System (SLS) and Orion are proven on EM-1 and EM-2. |
carmelo Member Posts: 1109 From: Messina, Sicilia, Italia Registered: Jun 2004
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posted 02-23-2016 04:39 PM
Is reasonable to say that the only way to keep alive Orion/SLS is a new and more realistic destination: the surface of the moon, in collaboration with other space agencies (for example ESA)? |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 50516 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 02-23-2016 04:45 PM
The lunar surface is not necessarily a more realistic destination than lunar orbit, or for that matter, an asteroid in the belt as neither require a moon-specific lander. |
carmelo Member Posts: 1109 From: Messina, Sicilia, Italia Registered: Jun 2004
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posted 02-23-2016 07:10 PM
If only the relations with Russia were better... Although any future human trip to the Moon is still at least a decade away, behind the scenes, the next-generation lunar lander has already appeared on the drawing board—or more precisely, on a computer screen in Russia. |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 50516 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 02-23-2016 07:22 PM
A good idea, but it might not necessarily help in the near term; Russia this year drastically cut its space program's budget to the point that planning for the country's lunar ambitions has been pushed back to at least 2025. |
Jim Behling Member Posts: 1815 From: Cape Canaveral, FL Registered: Mar 2010
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posted 02-23-2016 08:21 PM
quote: Originally posted by Robert Pearlman: Exploration Mission-2 (EM-2), targeted for 2021 but to fly no later than 2023, sends a crewed Orion on a distant retrograde orbital flight around the moon.
EM-2 has issues since it will be the first flight of the EUS and NASA doesn't want to fly it manned. |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 50516 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 02-23-2016 08:35 PM
That could be a moot issue, though.The FY2017 budget request for NASA doesn't include enough funds to complete the EUS in time for EM-2, which is forcing the space agency to use the interim cryogenic propulsion stage (ICPS). But Congress has prevented NASA from man-rating the ICPS, so, at present, NASA is technically without any upper stage to fly on EM-2. |
Fra Mauro Member Posts: 1739 From: Bethpage, N.Y. Registered: Jul 2002
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posted 02-24-2016 06:25 AM
While I support the Orion/SLS program, the flight rate and budget schedules make this program dillusional. |
alanh_7 Member Posts: 1267 From: Ajax, Ontario, Canada Registered: Apr 2008
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posted 02-24-2016 08:06 AM
Issues with the second stage hanging in the balance I wonder if it makes the program vulnerable to the chopping block for a new political administration? |
Jim Behling Member Posts: 1815 From: Cape Canaveral, FL Registered: Mar 2010
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posted 02-24-2016 10:43 AM
quote: Originally posted by Fra Mauro: While I support the Orion/SLS program, the flight rate and budget schedules make this program dillusional.
The question that started this thread is the issue. There are no real payloads for SLS. |
328KF Member Posts: 1388 From: Registered: Apr 2008
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posted 02-24-2016 10:31 PM
And why is that? Lack of real leadership and interest, pure and simple. We have lamented for decades over giving up the great national asset that we had in the Saturn. Now a series of events have occurred which has led to several parallel spacecraft designs being pursued with only one destination, the ISS.Mars is a pipe dream at this point. It has become a sales pitch thrown around by NASA to justify just about everything they do. The ARM is a joke and will be canceled, regardless of who next occupies the White House, because it has morphed into a project that has nothing to do with going to Mars. There is a national tug of war between the "commercial" supporters vs. the "government" (read SLS) supporters. Some think that if we simply canceled one the other would thrive. Nonsense. SpaceX, Boeing, Blue Origin, and Virgin aren't leaving suborbital or LEO anytime soon. And now some claim that SLS has no destination. And the justification for this lack of a workable flight rate, even by Bolden himself, is the lack of a lander? So the simple answer is build a lunar lander and that will provide SLS with a realistic goal and a reasonable flight rate? Maybe so. But what is really needed is a realignment of near term goals to fully utilize SLS. If the national leadership can fully realize the potential that SLS brings and the history that produced it, maybe then they will move toward a new exploration of the moon. Leverage the experience working with the commercial companies and our international partners, spread the cost of the lander among partners or even follow the Commercial Crew model and have competitors contend for the contract. That same lander design, or components of it, might be suitable long term for use in the moons of Mars, so the lunar architecture is not a side street or dead end. These aren't hard things to figure out. We just need real leadership to bring these competing agendas together rather than insisting we kill one or the other off. |
Jim Behling Member Posts: 1815 From: Cape Canaveral, FL Registered: Mar 2010
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posted 03-12-2016 06:47 AM
quote: Originally posted by 328KF: And why is that? Lack of real leadership and interest, pure and simple.
No, it is because there is no real need for NASA to do such things. Cis-lunar space exploration isn't like the U.S. west expansion. - the logistics are expensive.
- There are no real resources to claim to justify the expense.
- Without a killer app or something with an ROI, there is little reason for industry to go there.
- Without industry, there is little reason for governments to go there.
The U.S. went to the moon to prove a point that was relevant on earth. Once the point was proven, the need went away. Say all what you want about the intangible reasons to go into space, they are not enough to justify the cost and it is reflected in the government funding levels. NASA's funding is more based on jobs that it will provide than the soft power it projects. That is why NASA went from mission driven to capability driven. Since a consensus could not be reached on NASA's exploration goals (and the funding to go with it), it was given money just to develop hardware (i.e. jobs). Now that the hardware is nearing completion, there is a quandary on how to use it. |
Fra Mauro Member Posts: 1739 From: Bethpage, N.Y. Registered: Jul 2002
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posted 05-12-2016 08:57 AM
Aren't there funding issues for the EUS that might cause delays? |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 50516 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 05-12-2016 09:16 AM
NASA did not request enough funding in its fiscal year 2017 budget request to support development of the EUS in time for EM-2 (as the agency was originally planning to use the Interim Cryogenic Propulsion System until Congress put an end to that plan), but it is expected Congress will add the needed funding. A funding bill for 2017 approved by the Senate Appropriations Committee April 21 sets aside at least $300 million of the $2.15 billion provided for SLS to continue work on EUS. That bill has not been taken up by the full Senate, and the House has yet to introduce a companion spending bill.Honeycutt suggested he assumed the higher spending levels would continue to be available for EUS, which will complete a preliminary design review by the end of this year. Citing "favorable appropriations" for the program this year, he said, "our plan now is to fly EM-2 with the Exploration Upper Stage." |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 50516 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 03-28-2017 09:18 AM
At a NASA Advisory Committee meeting this morning, Bill Gerstenmaier (NASA's Associate Administrator for Human Exploration and Operations) shared two charts showing a three phase plan for flights beyond EM-2:
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Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 50516 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 03-28-2017 10:09 AM
Additional chart from Jim Free (Deputy Associate Administrator, Human Exploration and Operations): |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 50516 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 03-28-2017 01:23 PM
Additional details from Ars Technica: During his presentation, Gerstenmaier presented slides outlining the assembly of a "deep space gateway" and subsequent testing of a "deep space transport" system in the vicinity of the Moon. The sequence of missions would culminate in a crewed mission to orbit Mars, but not land, in 2033. Although Gerstenmaier did not identify the funding needed for such a series of events — which would certainly be considerable and require support from the Trump administration — Tuesday's presentation nonetheless offered an insightful peek into NASA’s future plans. |
Headshot Member Posts: 1221 From: Vancouver, WA, USA Registered: Feb 2012
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posted 03-30-2017 07:16 AM
Why can't we just use existing U.S. components from the ISS, attached to two booster rockets (one for TLI and one for LOI), to send them into lunar orbit? |
Robert Pearlman Editor Posts: 50516 From: Houston, TX Registered: Nov 1999
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posted 03-30-2017 07:44 AM
Beyond lifetime-on-orbit considerations, the space station modules were designed to be continuously crew-tended; the cislunar outpost, as proposed, would only be crewed as needed, which may be one reason new modules need to be designed. The station modules were also not intended to pass through the radiation belts or operate in deep space.NASA has also said it would be advantageous for its exploration programs to operate the space station as long as possible, as an Earth-orbit based test site for systems and modules. |