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  STS-120: Wing leading edge assessed

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Author Topic:   STS-120: Wing leading edge assessed
garymilgrom
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Posts: 1966
From: Atlanta, GA
Registered: Feb 2007

posted 10-10-2007 04:56 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for garymilgrom   Click Here to Email garymilgrom     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
There has been a recommendation made by NASA's Engineering and Safety Center to replace three of Discovery's RCC panels. This would require moving back to the VAB.

The issue will be decided at the Flight Readiness Review.

The damage may be similar to what has been observed before and the risk may be minimal (NASASpaceflight.com).

irish guy
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Posts: 287
From: Kerry Ireland
Registered: Dec 2001

posted 10-10-2007 04:56 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for irish guy   Click Here to Email irish guy     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Thats a bombshell. We're all just sitting here breathing. Tickets arrived today, let's hope the MMT don't have to do another roll back this year.

Robert Pearlman
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From: Houston, TX
Registered: Nov 1999

posted 10-10-2007 04:58 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Update from Bill Harwood (CBS):
quote:
02:00 PM, 10/10/07, Wing leading edge issue assessed

NASA managers met for a program-level flight readiness review before a headquarters-level review next Tuesday. Among the topics up for discussion today was a potential issue with the ship's wing leading edge panels.

The reinforced carbon carbon panels protect the shuttle's wings from the most extreme heating during re-entry when temperatures exceed 3,000 degrees Fahrenheit. A breach in Columbia's left wing leading edge led to the shuttle's destruction in 2003.

Engineers believed a process known as oxidation could lead to a known type of degradation in a protective coating on the panels. But agency officials say recent testing indicates that may not be the root cause.

That could be a problem for NASA because it would indicate engineers do not fully understand what causes the degradation and, as a result, how such degradation might evolve over time.

Using a technique called thermography, Discovery's RCC panels were inspected as usual prior to the orbiter's roll out to the launch pad last week. Three of the shuttle 44 leading edge panels showed defects that have been in place for the last few flights.

Thermography data from each of those flights shows the defects have not significantly changed over time and there is no reason to expect any major changes during Discovery's flight. But the new test results have raised questions about NASA's ability to predict how such defects might worsen over time.

The shuttle's wing leading edge panels cannot be inspected at the launch pad. But it is not yet known whether any additional inspections might be required.


Jay Chladek
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From: Bellevue, NE, USA
Registered: Aug 2007

posted 10-10-2007 05:50 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Jay Chladek   Click Here to Email Jay Chladek     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
My gut feeling says they will fly as is, but change them out when Discovery gets back. If the panels haven't deteriorated anymore then they did after the previous flights, then theoretically they shouldn't cause problems this time either.

Does anyone know which panels are suspect and if they might be ones that were changed out in the wake of 107 or if they are older more original RCC panels?

John K. Rochester
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Posts: 1292
From: Rochester, NY, USA
Registered: Mar 2002

posted 10-10-2007 06:25 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for John K. Rochester   Click Here to Email John K. Rochester     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
(The CBS site tells what panels they are concerned about.) I guess the Melroys have spoken to Pam regarding the news and she's pretty positive the FRR Board will approve the date of Oct 23.

I sure hope so too guys, 'cause I've got tix as well!! I need to carry a sign so that any CS'ers around me can introduce themselves.....if I miss you there, you can always stop by the Four Points Cocoa Beach between the 22nd and the 27th.

tncmaxq
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Posts: 287
From: New Haven, CT USA
Registered: Oct 2001

posted 10-10-2007 06:31 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for tncmaxq   Click Here to Email tncmaxq     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I thought a decision was due by tonight (Wednesday) but so far I have not heard anything definitive. I hope a final decision is not put off until part 2 of the FRR next week.

I also have a causeway pass and look forward to meeting fellow CS members.

Robert Pearlman
Editor

Posts: 42988
From: Houston, TX
Registered: Nov 1999

posted 10-10-2007 09:20 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by tncmaxq:
I thought a decision was due by tonight (Wednesday) but so far I have not heard anything definitive. I hope a final decision is not put off until part 2 of the FRR next week.
From Bill Harwood (CBS):
quote:
Replacing the panels would require moving Discovery off the launch pad and back to its hangar for repairs, work that likely would delay launch for weeks if not longer. A decision on how to proceed is expected next week, after a headquarters-level flight readiness review Tuesday.

cspg
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Posts: 6210
From: Geneva, Switzerland
Registered: May 2006

posted 10-11-2007 12:45 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for cspg   Click Here to Email cspg     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Per Harwood:
quote:
Using a technique called thermography, Discovery's RCC panels were inspected as usual prior to the orbiter's roll out to the launch pad last week. Three of the shuttle 44 leading edge panels showed defects that have been in place for the last few flights.
If the panels' condition represent an "engineering risk", why was the rollout to the pad approved? Nobody said, "hey, we've got a potential issue here! Stop the processing flow and analyze the situation."?

And the shuttle, despite Columbia, is flying with "defective" RCC panels. That's simply lovely. Same thing happened with the SRB's O-rings (Challenger) and loose foam (Columbia). But I'm no engineer.

Chris.

Robert Pearlman
Editor

Posts: 42988
From: Houston, TX
Registered: Nov 1999

posted 10-11-2007 03:03 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by cspg:
And the shuttle, despite Columbia, is flying with "defective" RCC panels.
The last time I took my car in for service, the mechanic provided me with a list of things he felt should be addressed. Prodding him for more information, while all were valid issues, not all of them were necessary to be fixed in order for me to drive the car safely. But it was the mechanic's job to identify all the problems and inform me of what he thought should be fixed.

NASA's Engineering and Safety Center has a similar job to the mechanic: it's their position that if something is off-nominal, it should be fixed. It is then the responsibility of the shuttle program to weigh the data and decide how best to proceed.

Unlike the problems that led to the losses of Challenger and Columbia, flying Discovery as is would not be in violation of any flight rules. Remember, the Engineering and Safety Center called for the RCC panels to be replaced due to a lack of information, rather than a known, existing problem.

The important thing here is that the shuttle program isn't dismissing the Engineering and Safety Center's concerns. They are taking the time to study their findings and consider them against their own understanding of the vehicle.

cspg
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Posts: 6210
From: Geneva, Switzerland
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posted 10-11-2007 04:19 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for cspg   Click Here to Email cspg     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Good point (can your car achieve Mach 25? If so, let me know about the model you're driving! ).

Chris.

Robert Pearlman
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From: Houston, TX
Registered: Nov 1999

posted 10-11-2007 05:25 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Per notes filed by a few of those inside the program-level flight readiness review held yesterday, the space shuttle program "will be go" to launch as planned, at least in regards to the RCC panel concerns.

The issue will be discussed again during next week's headquarters-level review, but the SSP representatives from Wednesday's meeting "don't anticipate any changes."

KSCartist
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Posts: 2896
From: Titusville, FL USA
Registered: Feb 2005

posted 10-12-2007 07:11 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for KSCartist   Click Here to Email KSCartist     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Today's Florida Today has an excellent article about the RCC cracks. While the issue is concerning, the article does a good job of placing it into context and provides a timeline.

Tim

Jonjonzilla
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Posts: 42
From: Hagerstown, MAryland
Registered: May 2007

posted 10-12-2007 07:31 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Jonjonzilla   Click Here to Email Jonjonzilla     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I got tix yesterday and hopefully all that will happen is that the right decision is made, one or another...

I haven't had the guts to tell my wife there is an issue with the launch....

John John

Robert Pearlman
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From: Houston, TX
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posted 10-16-2007 07:51 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Discovery has been cleared to fly one week from today.

"We're ready to go and proceed with the launch," said NASA chief engineer Christopher Scolese, at the start of a press briefing, following the STS-120 flight readiness review.

"We set the launch date for October 23," added Bill Gerstenmaier, Associate Administrator for Space Operations.

Robert Pearlman
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From: Houston, TX
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posted 10-16-2007 10:47 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
NASA release
quote:
NASA Gives "Go" for Space Shuttle Launch on Oct. 23

NASA senior managers Tuesday completed a detailed review of space shuttle Discovery's readiness for flight and selected Oct. 23 as the official launch date. Commander Pam Melroy and her six crewmates are scheduled to lift off at 11:38 a.m. EDT on the STS-120 mission to the International Space Station.

Tuesday's meeting included a discussion about concerns raised by the NASA Engineering and Safety Center regarding the reinforced carbon carbon on three of Discovery's wing leading edge panels. This issue initially was brought before the Space Shuttle Program during a two-day, preliminary review held last week to assess preparations for Discovery's mission.

"After a thorough discussion and review of all current engineering analysis, we have determined that Discovery's panels do not need to be replaced before the mission," said Associate Administrator for Space Operations Bill Gerstenmaier, who chaired Tuesday's meeting.

During the shuttle's 120th mission, the shuttle and station crews will work with flight controllers at NASA's Johnson Space Center, Houston, to add a module to the station that will serve as a port for installing future international laboratories. The Harmony module will be the first expansion of the living and working space on the station since 2001. The upcoming mission also will move the first set of solar arrays installed on the station to a permanent location on the complex and redeploy them.

The 14-day mission includes five spacewalks - four by shuttle crew members and one by the station's Expedition 16 crew. Discovery is expected to complete its mission and return home at 4:47 a.m. EST on Nov. 6.

Joining Commander Melroy on STS-120 will be Pilot George Zamka and mission specialists Scott Parazynski, Stephanie Wilson, Doug Wheelock, Daniel Tani and Paolo Nespoli of the European Space Agency. Tani will remain aboard the station and return with the STS-122 crew, which is targeted to launch Dec. 6. Current Flight Engineer Clayton Anderson will return to Earth on Discovery after nearly five months on the station.


Robert Pearlman
Editor

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From: Houston, TX
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posted 10-17-2007 12:53 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Robert Pearlman   Click Here to Email Robert Pearlman     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
More on the flight rationale from Bill Harwood (CBS/Spaceflight Now):
quote:
Shuttle boss confident suspect wing panels safe

Senior NASA managers today cleared the shuttle Discovery for launch Oct. 23 on a critical space station assembly mission, concluding concern about the integrity of a protective coating on three of 44 wing leading edge panels did not warrant a lengthy delay. While there were no official dissenting opinions, NASA's chief engineer opted to write down his concerns about the decision to proceed with flight and a NASA engineering panel stuck to an earlier recommendation to replace the panels in question.

In a worst-case failure, one in which some unknown mechanism caused the protective coating to somehow come off after the crew's normal heat-shield inspections in orbit and before peak heating during re-entry, the shuttle could suffer a catastrophic leading edge burn through. Replacing the panels in question would eliminate the threat but the work would delay launch for two months or more.

NASA is attempting to complete the international space station and retire the shuttle by the end of fiscal 2010. At a news conference late Tuesday, Hale did not address how the prospect of a long delay might have played into the launch decision. But he made it clear he believes it is safe to proceed with Discovery's flight while testing continues, saying there is no engineering data to support the worst-case scenario.

"We certainly explored it in a great deal of depth," Hale said. "Everybody got to ask questions, everybody got to give their understanding of it down to the working-troop level. And at the end of the day, the flight readiness review board decided we were in an acceptable risk posture to go fly. Which is not to say we completely and perfectly understand the problem that's been laid out. We're going to continue to work very hard on it as the data comes in. We will continually re-evaluate our position from flight to flight and if the risk grows to an unacceptable level, we will take action, whether that's to change some hardware or to delay some flights while we do testing or what have you.

"I really think this was a credit to the lessons that we learned since Challenger and Columbia to be able to listen to all the opinions, to think very clearly about what they mean, apply some critical thought processes and, I trust, come to a good decision that provides us with an acceptable reason to go fly. We have a very important mission ahead of us and the crew is going to have a very intense time on orbit. We need to focus on what they are getting ready to do... because it's absolutely critical to the next stage of building the international space station which is, after all, the reason for which we're flying the space shuttle."


Cliff Lentz
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From: Philadelphia, PA USA
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posted 10-17-2007 10:07 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Cliff Lentz   Click Here to Email Cliff Lentz     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Just watched the replay of the press conference. I have to tell you that I am still very uneasy about flying with this situation. Wayne Hale doesn't ease my fears any by saying that the Shuttle is a dangerous vehicle, it's old and it should be considered a test vehicle (paraphrased version). Can we afford not to changeout the Carbon Carbon panels?

Cliff

Jay Chladek
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From: Bellevue, NE, USA
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posted 10-17-2007 10:20 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Jay Chladek   Click Here to Email Jay Chladek     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
The way I see it, flying with the panels as is means there is a very tiny risk that something could happen to cause a delamination, resulting in a burn through. The engineering panel airing on the side of caution recommends to have them changed in order to eliminate that tiny possibility. But the management review team is deciding to go fly using the data collected here and balancing it with data from over 100 previous flights, many of those done at a time before data was collected on the RCC panels. I would be curious to see what the statistical data is on the possibility of failure of the suspect RCC is vs a new panel personally. We already know that post Columbia, Discovery has flown with the same panels with the same cracks and the cracks have NOT increased in size at all. How many missions prior to Columbia did Discovery fly with these particular suspect panels? We don't know about any cracks since nobody was collecting data on them.

The engineering panel did their job as intended, but at the end of the day it is still the managers that have to make the final hard decisions. This isn't the first time it has happened in the space program (not just shuttle), nor will it be the last. There are many instances where the decisions made were correct. But it is the failures that get the headlines when things go wrong.

If I were an astronaut, knowing the risks I would still probably fly since there are plenty of other things that could kill me before this item becomes a problem (which I don't think it will).

This is no different from the management approach that has been ongoing with the ET tank foam, especially in the wake of STS-118's impact on the bottom of Endeavour. As has been stated before by NASA management (one press conference I was in at KSC), sometimes you just have to go fly to collect more data in absense of any other data collection that can be done and go by your previous experience. I don't think the risk here is excessive at all (any more excessive then sitting in a vehicle next to a tank loaded with lots of highly explosive fuel and two firecrackers for extra thrust anyway).

CJC
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From: Ireland
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posted 10-18-2007 08:20 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for CJC   Click Here to Email CJC     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Hi Folks,

Here's a question that's relevant to the situation.

What would NASA do if one of the astronauts due to fly on the next mission refused to fly because they were uneasy about the managements decision?

CJC

Jay Chladek
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From: Bellevue, NE, USA
Registered: Aug 2007

posted 10-18-2007 09:04 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Jay Chladek   Click Here to Email Jay Chladek     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I don't believe that has ever come up before (Schirra's Apollo 7 hold in the count recommendation not withstanding), but the unwritten rules as I've heard it says that astronauts have veto power if they don't feel the situation is right. The main one with that power would be the commander of the mission.

That being said though, you know the crew for STS-120 has been heavily briefed on the situation and they have probably looked over all the engineering data in question since the majority of them are themselves engineers. They have probably been asked to weigh in as well and I think we already know what their answer is.

capoetc
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From: McKinney TX (USA)
Registered: Aug 2005

posted 10-18-2007 09:08 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for capoetc   Click Here to Email capoetc     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by CJC:
What would NASA do if one of the astronauts due to fly on the next mission refused to fly because they were uneasy about the managements decision?
First, I doubt it would happen because there is a LONG line of people standing by to take your seat if you decide not to go. These men and women work to hard for too long to give up their seat without hard-and-fast evidence of an unacceptable risk and, for some, maybe not even then.

I think management would take the crew's concerns seriously, particularly if the CDR expressed concerns. It would have to be a pretty serious situation to make it worthwhile to fall on your sword, though, as there will likely be an impact on future flight assignments.

Ultimately, NASA management has to balance safety against mission accomplishment and manage the risks as well as possible until the ISS is completed.

I think the pressures at NASA are different today than they were in the 80's (an outsider's opinion). In the 80's, the pressure was on to get the flight rate up to 20-per-year to make the shuttle pay for itself. Today, the pressure comes from figuring out how to best complete ISS construction in as few flights as possible so we can retire the shuttle and move on. Management must be keenly aware that any accident will bring the program to a screeching halt for the foreseeable future.

------------------
John Capobianco
Camden DE

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